M. Liberato, I. Montero, C. Gouveia, A. Russo, A. Ramos, R. Trigo
{"title":"Rankings of extreme and widespread dry and wet events in the Iberian Peninsula between 1901 and 2016","authors":"M. Liberato, I. Montero, C. Gouveia, A. Russo, A. Ramos, R. Trigo","doi":"10.5194/ESD-12-197-2021","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Extensive, long-standing dry and wet episodes are two of\nthe most frequent climatic extreme events in the Iberian Peninsula. Here, a\nmethod for ranking regional extremes of persistent, widespread drought and\nwet events is presented, considering different timescales. The method is\nbased on the multi-scalar Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index\n(SPEI) gridded dataset for the Iberian Peninsula. Climatic Research Unit\n(CRU) data are used to compute the SPEI between 1901 and 2016 by means of a\nlog-logistic probability distribution function. The potential\nevapotranspiration (PET) is computed using the Penman–Monteith equation.\nThe ranking classification method is based on the assessment of the\nmagnitude of an event, which is obtained after considering both the area affected by the respective dryness or wetness – defined by SPEI values over a\ncertain threshold – and its intensity in each grid point. A sensitivity\nanalysis of the impact of different thresholds used to define dry and wet events\nis also performed. For both the dry and wet periods, this simple yet robust tool\nallows for the identification and ranking of well-known regional extremes of persistent,\nextensive dry and wet periods at different timescales. A comprehensive\ndataset of rankings of the most extreme, prolonged, widespread dry and wet\nperiods in the Iberian Peninsula is presented for aggregated timescales of\n6, 12, 18, and 24 months. Results show that no region in the Iberian Peninsula is more prone to the occurrence of any of these long-term (dry\nand/or wet) extreme events. Finally, it is highlighted that the\napplication of this methodology to other domains and periods represents an\nimportant tool for extensive, long-standing, extreme event assessment\nworldwide.","PeriodicalId":11466,"journal":{"name":"Earth System Dynamics Discussions","volume":"12 1","pages":"197-210"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Earth System Dynamics Discussions","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.5194/ESD-12-197-2021","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Abstract
Abstract. Extensive, long-standing dry and wet episodes are two of
the most frequent climatic extreme events in the Iberian Peninsula. Here, a
method for ranking regional extremes of persistent, widespread drought and
wet events is presented, considering different timescales. The method is
based on the multi-scalar Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index
(SPEI) gridded dataset for the Iberian Peninsula. Climatic Research Unit
(CRU) data are used to compute the SPEI between 1901 and 2016 by means of a
log-logistic probability distribution function. The potential
evapotranspiration (PET) is computed using the Penman–Monteith equation.
The ranking classification method is based on the assessment of the
magnitude of an event, which is obtained after considering both the area affected by the respective dryness or wetness – defined by SPEI values over a
certain threshold – and its intensity in each grid point. A sensitivity
analysis of the impact of different thresholds used to define dry and wet events
is also performed. For both the dry and wet periods, this simple yet robust tool
allows for the identification and ranking of well-known regional extremes of persistent,
extensive dry and wet periods at different timescales. A comprehensive
dataset of rankings of the most extreme, prolonged, widespread dry and wet
periods in the Iberian Peninsula is presented for aggregated timescales of
6, 12, 18, and 24 months. Results show that no region in the Iberian Peninsula is more prone to the occurrence of any of these long-term (dry
and/or wet) extreme events. Finally, it is highlighted that the
application of this methodology to other domains and periods represents an
important tool for extensive, long-standing, extreme event assessment
worldwide.