Ahorro público, un aletargado proceso de recuperación económica, los pagarés en el entorno bancario / Public savings, a lethargic economic recovery process, promissory notes in the banking environment
José Antonio García-Zambrano, Alexander Galicia-Palacios, María Ramos-Escamilla
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Abstract
Resumen Los resultados de la presente investigacion permiten confirmar que independientemente de las estrategias de politica monetaria aplicadas en la economia, las tasas de interes suelen ser negativas en terminos reales para inversiones en pagares bancarios, lo anterior debe considerarse un proceso estructural mas que coyuntural al analizar su desempeno a lo largo de las tres ultimas decadas. El problema es relevante, porque tiene relacion con un amplio publico ahorrador, mismo que a pesar de los infimos niveles en las tasas de interes, mantiene inversiones cuantiosas considerando el total de la banca multiple, lo anterior en un entorno paralelo en donde las tasas activas para creditos al consumo resultan ser exponencialmente elevadas comparadas con las anteriores. Abstract The results of the present investigation allow us to confirm that, independently of the monetary policy strategies applied in the economy, interest rates tend to be negative in real terms for investments in bank promissory notes, this should be considered a structural process rather than conjunctural when analyzing its Performance over the last three decades. The problem is relevant, because it is related to a large public savings, which despite the very low levels of interest rates, maintains large investments considering the total of multiple banking, the above in a parallel environment where rates active for consumer loans turn out to be exponentially high compared to the previous ones.
本调查结果摘要可确认,不论应用货币政治战略对经济不利,兴趣往往术语。真实的投资银行pagares结构,前者被视为一个过程比间接分析其desempeno沿三几数十年。决非易事。问题是相关的,因为有关系,一个公开的综合保护器,自己认为,尽管infimos率水平兴趣,大笔投资银行考虑到总multiple,前者在一个平行的环境水平积极creditos是发达国家消费指数高的比以前多。Abstract The results of The目前调查allow us to confirm that, independently of applied in The economy)的货币政策战略利益房费tend to be消极in terms皇家银行投资promissory notes, this should be牢房的结构上不可进程而不是conjunctural when analyzing its over The最后三decades性能。The problem is有关,因为it is a large有关公共储蓄,本尽管非常低水平of interest房费,维持大型投资虽然ngok上述in The total of multiple银行,并行环境在房费active for consumer loans turn out to be exponentially high算不上to The previous ones。