An agent-based and microsimulated model of the epidemiology impact of closure of schools during the COVID-19 pandemic in the region of Aysen in Chile

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.3934/jdg.2023003

Gabriel Brida, Nicolás Garrido

引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact on the spread of the COVID-19 virus of making virtual the educational system in the Region of Aysen in Chile. The analyzes is made through a mix of agent-based modelling and microsim-ulation techniques, using multiple sources of administrative and census data. The behavior of 103,000 habitants of the region is modeled during each one of the seven days of the week, for 10 weeks. The diffusion of the virus is mod-eled as consequence of the social interaction of the individuals in five different environments: home, the transportation system, at work, the educational sys-tem and in places of entertainment. The results show that the closure of the educational system is important to flatten the curve of contagious. In a world where people don't do social distancing, it could lower R0 by one unit.

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基于主体的微模拟模型，分析了智利Aysen地区2019冠状病毒病大流行期间学校关闭对流行病学的影响

本文分析了智利艾森地区教育系统虚拟化对COVID-19病毒传播的影响。分析是通过基于代理的建模和微观模拟技术的混合进行的，使用了多个行政和普查数据来源。该地区103,000名居民的行为在一周7天中的每一天进行建模，持续10周。病毒的传播模型是五个不同环境中个体社会互动的结果:家庭、交通系统、工作场所、教育系统和娱乐场所。结果表明，教育系统的封闭性对使传染病曲线趋于平缓具有重要意义。在一个人们不保持社交距离的世界里，它可以将R0降低一个单位。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.