ANALISIS DAMPAK PERUBAHAN IKLIM TERHADAP KEBERLANJUTAN USAHA (PRODUKSI) GARAM RAKYAT DI PESISIR KABUPATEN JENEPONTO

Rizky Yudha Pahlawan, Asbar Asbar, Ernaningsih Ernaningsih
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The current global climate change also has an influence on climate or season in Indonesia. Coastal communities in Jeneponto who work as farmers salt still traditional. Dependence of production activities with weather and climate conditions causes the amount of production to fluctuate. This research aims to (1) analyzing climate projections (rainfall and season length), (2) estimating salt production, and (3) knowing the effect of climate change on the business sustainability (production) of salt in the future. Observation rainfall, RCP 4.5 scenario, and salt production data from 2009 to 2018 were regressed and analyzed descriptively and temporally up to 2100. The results showed an increasing in rainfall and dry season are becoming shorter. The estimated percentage of occurrence salt production above average is 51,3%. Climate change gives effect on salt farming time is getting shorter and salt crystallization time is getting longer. Salt production is more affected by rainfall than season length. The business sustainability (production) of salt in the future is still quite good and need for adaptation measures to face climate change.
分析气候变化对耶涅蓬托沿海沿海地区盐可持续性企业的影响
当前的全球气候变化也对印尼的气候和季节产生了影响。Jeneponto沿海社区的农民仍然是传统的盐农。生产活动对天气和气候条件的依赖导致产量波动。本研究旨在(1)分析气候预测(降雨和季节长度),(2)估算盐业产量,(3)了解气候变化对未来盐业可持续性(生产)的影响。对2009 - 2018年的观测降雨量、RCP 4.5情景和盐产量数据进行了描述性和时间上的回归分析,直至2100年。结果表明,降水增加,旱季缩短。估计产盐量高于平均水平的百分比为51.3%。气候变化对盐田种植时间的影响越来越短,对盐结晶时间的影响越来越长。盐产量受降雨的影响大于季节长度。未来盐业的商业可持续性(生产)仍然相当好,需要采取适应措施来应对气候变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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