Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in East Africa: A Comparative Study of Tanzania, Kenya And Uganda

Hamza A. Mkai, Jehovaness Aikaeli
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Abstract

This study makes a comparative analysis of the channels and effectiveness of the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in three East African countries. The study applies time series data that is analysed using a Recursive Vector Autoregressive technique. The results suggest that exchange rate is the dominant monetary policy transmission channel in Tanzania and Uganda; and the bank credit channel is found to be the most dominant mechanism in Kenya. Further, the results suggest the existence of good potential for targeting inflation or interest rate rather than monetary aggregates, especially for Tanzania and Kenya, since Uganda has already embarked on inflation targeting lite, and is currently faring well. JEL Classification: E31, E37
东非货币政策传导机制:坦桑尼亚、肯尼亚和乌干达的比较研究
本文对东非三国货币政策传导机制的渠道和有效性进行了比较分析。该研究应用了使用递归向量自回归技术分析的时间序列数据。结果表明,汇率是坦桑尼亚和乌干达的主要货币政策传导渠道;银行信贷渠道是肯尼亚最主要的融资机制。此外,结果表明,存在着以通货膨胀或利率为目标而不是货币总量为目标的良好潜力,特别是对坦桑尼亚和肯尼亚来说,因为乌干达已经开始以通货膨胀为目标,目前进展良好。JEL分类:E31, E37
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