Tool for Analyzing the Risks in Dangerous Goods Transportation

N. Vagiokas, Christos Zacharias
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Abstract

Transportation of Dangerous goods by road may have serious consequences in case of an accident occur. The consequences of a road accident of a heavy goods vehicle carrying dangerous goods may affect not only the truck driver but also the nearby population present. Routing selection is a complicated issue influenced from a number of parameters that may vary during the day, a week or a month. The purpose of the research is to develop a preliminary tool concerning the Transportation of Dangerous Goods which will prove whether a risk analysis using real time data (traffic flows, meteorological conditions, etc.) can offer higher level of safety to the society and the personnel involved in the transportation. The final goal is to enhance safety by making the Dangerous Goods (DG) Risk transportation totally digitalized as a risk management process with real time data acquisition and real time risk assessment through an online platform linked with Global Positioning System (GPS). During the research the risk analysis conducted taking into account all critical parameters for two selected routes. All the necessary data derived from annual statistical data and “simulated” real time data. Data collected concerned all the critical parameters and constraints in order to compare the results to be comparable. Risk quantification was implemented using the DG Quantitative Risk Assessment Model (QRAM) and was illustrated in terms of F/N curves. The results of this research were compared with the ones existed till today which are calculated based on annual statistical data for the above-mentioned factors. The results obtained were compared by means of Societal Risk expressed by Expected Value (EV) and showed that specific factors affect the final routing selection because of the calculated risk.
危险品运输风险分析工具
道路危险货物运输一旦发生事故,可能造成严重后果。载运危险货物的重型货车发生道路交通事故,其后果不仅会影响货车司机,还会影响附近的居民。路由选择是一个复杂的问题,受到许多参数的影响,这些参数可能在一天、一周或一个月内变化。研究的目的是开发一个关于危险货物运输的初步工具,这将证明使用实时数据(交通流量,气象条件等)的风险分析是否可以为社会和参与运输的人员提供更高水平的安全。最终目标是通过与全球定位系统(GPS)相连的在线平台,通过实时数据采集和实时风险评估,将危险货物(DG)风险运输完全数字化,作为风险管理过程,从而提高安全性。在研究过程中,考虑到所选两条路线的所有关键参数,进行了风险分析。所有必要数据均来自年度统计数据和“模拟”实时数据。收集的数据涉及所有关键参数和约束,以便比较结果具有可比性。采用DG定量风险评估模型(QRAM)进行风险量化,并以F/N曲线表示。本文的研究结果与目前已有的基于上述因素的年度统计数据计算的结果进行了比较。用期望值表示的社会风险(EV)对结果进行了比较,结果表明,由于计算出的风险,特定因素会影响最终的路线选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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