International Monetary Policies, Interdependence, and Debt

E. Grilli
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

breaking down in the late 1960s and early 1970s, was believed that a system of flexible exchange rates would afford member countries a higher degree of monetary independence. Freed from the balance-of-payments (read balance-of-trade) equilibrium constraint, monetary policy could have been directed to the achievement of domestic objectives, most notably the desired degree of internal price stability, independent of that of the rest of the world. Greater autonomy in national monetary policies and less interdependence in inflation (and perhaps output) rates were expected to be the main benefits of more flexible exchange rates. Moving away from fixed exchange rates would not only have reduced the "common currency standard" characteristics of the Bretton Woods system and the strong economic interdependence implicit in it, but would also have lessened the policy conflicts arising from the perceived asymmetry in the sharing of adjustment burdens between balance of payments deficit-prone and surplus-prone countries. It would have, in addition, reduced the "exorbitant privilege" retained by the reserve issuing country (the United States), whose degree of monetary autonomy was unparalleled within the system. It was also thought that the preservation of the liberal trade system developed in the post-World War II era would be made easier with a more automatic balance-of-trade adjustment mechanism in place.
国际货币政策、相互依赖和债务
在20世纪60年代末和70年代初,人们认为灵活的汇率制度将为成员国提供更高程度的货币独立性。从国际收支平衡(即贸易平衡)的约束中解放出来后,货币政策本可以被导向实现国内目标,最显著的是期望的国内价格稳定程度,而不受世界其他地区的影响。在国家货币政策上更大的自主权和在通货膨胀率(也许还有产出)上更少的相互依赖被认为是更灵活的汇率的主要好处。放弃固定汇率不仅会减少布雷顿森林体系的“共同货币标准”特征和其中隐含的强烈的经济相互依存关系,而且还会减少由于国际收支逆差倾向国家和顺差倾向国家之间分摊调整负担的明显不对称而产生的政策冲突。此外,它还将减少储备发行国(美国)保留的“过分特权”,美国的货币自主程度在该体系内是无与伦比的。还有人认为,在第二次世界大战后时期发展起来的自由贸易制度,如果有一个更加自动的贸易平衡调整机制,将更容易得到维护。
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