Turnover in EU Monetary Policy in a Crisis

IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
L. Lebedeva, Diana Shkuropadska
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Abstract

Abstract The role of monetary policy has become increasingly important in recent years, as a range of economic challenges have emerged, affecting both developing and economically advanced countries. The aim of this article is to examine the shift in the monetary policy of the EU, which has been expressed through changes in the tools used by the European Central Bank (ECB), and to consider the causes and economic implications of this shift. The descriptive analytical method was used to achieve this goal. The study identified that the aim of the ECB’s interest rate increases was primarily to slow down core inflation rates. The ECB has raised the refinancing rate from 0.5% to 2.5% in 2022 and halted asset purchase programs, such as the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme, which had previously stimulated liquidity growth. Despite these changes, forward guidance has been maintained as a useful tool for providing clarity and certainty to financial markets and the public about the future path of monetary policy. It is concluded in the study that the impact of the shift towards contractionary monetary policy is likely to be felt across a range of economic sectors, with higher borrowing costs potentially leading to reduced investment and lower levels of economic growth.
危机中的欧盟货币政策变动
近年来,随着一系列经济挑战的出现,货币政策的作用变得越来越重要,这些挑战既影响着发展中国家,也影响着经济发达国家。本文的目的是研究欧盟货币政策的转变,这种转变通过欧洲中央银行(ECB)使用的工具的变化来表达,并考虑这种转变的原因和经济影响。为了实现这一目标,采用了描述性分析方法。该研究指出,欧洲央行加息的主要目的是减缓核心通胀率。欧洲央行已在2022年将再融资利率从0.5%上调至2.5%,并停止了资产购买计划,如流行病紧急购买计划(Pandemic Emergency purchase Programme),该计划此前曾刺激流动性增长。尽管有这些变化,前瞻指引仍作为一种有用的工具,为金融市场和公众提供了关于未来货币政策路径的清晰度和确定性。研究得出的结论是,向紧缩性货币政策转变的影响可能会在一系列经济部门中感受到,更高的借贷成本可能导致投资减少和经济增长水平下降。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
10.00%
发文量
32
期刊介绍: Economics & Politics focuses on analytical political economy, broadly defined as the study of economic and political phenomena and policy in models that include political processes, institutions and markets. The journal is the source for innovative theoretical and empirical work on the intersection of politics and economics, at both domestic and international levels, and aims to promote new approaches on how these forces interact to affect political outcomes and policy choices, economic performance and societal welfare. Economics & Politics is a vital source of information for economists, academics and students, providing: - Analytical political economics - International scholarship - Accessible & thought-provoking articles - Creative inter-disciplinary analysis
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