The Methodology of Road Mapping in Strategic Planning for the Development of the Regions Energy Sector (the Case of the Irkutsk Region)

B. Saneev, A. Sokolov, S. Muzychuk, R. Muzychuk
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Abstract

Uncertainty of political decisions and economic conditions causes difficulties in predicting the development of energy systems, whereas the method of road mapping allows us to overcome them. This met­hod is one of the most effective mechanisms for strategic planning of the development of various facilities, including the energy complex in modern conditions. The purpose of the study is to develop a road map for the development of the fuel and energy complex of the Irkutsk region. The research methods are system analysis, economic and mathematical modeling, and road mapping. Target indicators for the development of the energy complex in the region have been developed, a list of measures to improve it has been proposed. The development and implementation of the roadmap is of practical importance for taking managerial decisions in the energy sector of the Irkutsk region, since its development depends on a large number of external and internal factors.
区域能源部门发展战略规划中的道路制图方法(以伊尔库茨克地区为例)
政治决策和经济条件的不确定性给预测能源系统的发展带来了困难,而道路测绘的方法使我们能够克服这些困难。这种方法是在现代条件下对各种设施,包括能源综合设施的发展进行战略规划的最有效的机制之一。这项研究的目的是为伊尔库茨克地区的燃料和能源综合体的发展制定路线图。研究方法为系统分析、经济与数学建模、道路制图。已经制定了该区域能源综合体发展的目标指标,并提出了改进该综合体的一系列措施。路线图的制定和实施对于伊尔库茨克地区能源部门的管理决策具有实际意义,因为其发展取决于大量的外部和内部因素。
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