Does Context Outweigh Individual Characteristics in Driving Voting Behavior? Evidence from Relocations within the United States

IF 10.5 1区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

American Economic Review Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI:10.1257/aer.20201660

Enrico Cantoni, V. Pons

引用次数: 14

Abstract

We measure the overall influence of contextual versus individual factors (e.g., voting rules and media as opposed to race and education) on voter behavior, and explore underlying mechanisms. Using a US-wide voter-level panel, 2008–2018, we examine voters who relocate across state and county lines, tracking changes in registration, turnout, and party affiliation to estimate location and individual fixed effects in a value-added model. Location explains 37 percent of the cross-state variation in turnout (to 63 percent for individual characteristics) and an only slightly smaller share of variation in party affiliation. Place effects are larger for young and White voters. (JEL D12, D72, I20, J15, L82, R23)

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在推动投票行为中，背景是否大于个人特征?来自美国境内重新安置的证据

我们衡量了环境因素与个人因素(例如，投票规则和媒体，而不是种族和教育)对选民行为的总体影响，并探索了潜在的机制。利用2008-2018年全美选民层面的调查小组，我们研究了跨州和县迁移的选民，跟踪登记、投票率和党派关系的变化，以估计增值模型中的地点和个人固定效应。地理位置解释了37%的州际投票率差异(个人特征为63%)，党派关系差异的比例略小。地域效应在年轻人和白人选民中更大。(jel d12, d72, i20, j15, l82, r23)

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来源期刊

American Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

18.60

自引率

2.80%

发文量

122

期刊介绍： The American Economic Review (AER) stands as a prestigious general-interest economics journal. Founded in 1911, it holds the distinction of being one of the nation's oldest and most esteemed scholarly journals in economics. With a commitment to academic excellence, the AER releases 12 issues annually, featuring articles that span a wide spectrum of economic topics.