Estimation of transportation energy demand of the Philippines using a bottom-up approach

Karl B.N. Vergel , Kelvin Ryan S. Marcelo , Arse John P. Salison , Felix Nathaniel M. Elamparo , Valerie Anne L. Saavedra , Kathrina P. Villedo , Nonalu Sherida A. Abao , Abby O. Gonzales , Jose Regin F. Regidor , Ernesto B. Abaya
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In the years 2000–2016, the sector with the largest share of total final energy consumption in the Philippines is transportation with an average share of 34.2%. The study aims to estimate the baseline transportation energy demand of road, maritime, air and rail transportation modes in 2016 using a bottom-up approach. Through a bottom-up approach and utilizing available transportation activity and fuel economy/energy efficiency data from secondary sources coupled with primary road transportation activity and fuel economy and railway operations survey data, the baseline transportation energy demand of the Philippines is estimated to be 12,956.1 ktoe in 2016. A comprehensive estimation of transportation energy demand of the country using bottom-up methodologies with more detailed transportation activity and vehicle fleet of the different transportation modes is implemented. Finally, the collection and keeping of certain data that are critical in the estimation of the transportation energy demand are recommended.

用自下而上的方法估计菲律宾的交通能源需求
在2000年至2016年期间,菲律宾最终能源消费总量中占最大份额的行业是交通运输,平均占34.2%。该研究旨在采用自下而上的方法估计2016年公路、海运、航空和铁路运输方式的基线运输能源需求。通过自下而上的方法,利用二手来源的可用运输活动和燃料经济性/能源效率数据,再加上主要道路运输活动和燃料经济性和铁路运营调查数据,菲律宾2016年的基线运输能源需求估计为12,956.1千万吨油当量。采用自下而上的方法,采用更详细的运输活动和不同运输方式的车队,对该国的运输能源需求进行综合估计。最后,建议收集和保存某些对估计交通能源需求至关重要的数据。
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