Applied risk control for oil spills

Leo Kiebala
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Abstract

To be effective, risk control requires scientific, engineering, technological, and managerial expertise. The latter discipline is frequently overlooked. This is ironic because it is the managerial factor that truly establishes a result-oriented program. A new concept has recently been developed and successfully carried out that stresses management of risk control function. This concept steps ahead of traditional methods and answers two important questions: What is the necessary level of control for your organization? How can that level of control be economically attained?

It is important to have an understanding of an organization's error exposures and existing control over these exposures before any effective program can be carried out. Only when the exposure/control relationship is known can potential incident causes be identified in time to take corrective action. The combination of these three principles is the basis for this program.

Effective management of the risk control function requires recognition of the control/exposure relationship,subsequent prediction of future incident trends and appropriate action based on these predictions. The numerous forces exerting an influence on the control/exposure relationship are summarized in four factors: resistance, operational, motivational, and historical.

Quantification of these factors leads to the determination of the risk control performance index for the operation. Comparison of this index to past incident trends will permit prediction of future incident and loss trends. With this understanding, an action plan containing sound, well-directed risk control procedures and practices can be developed and carried out, greatly assisting in the prevention of future oil spills.

应用溢油风险控制
为了有效,风险控制需要科学、工程、技术和管理方面的专门知识。后者经常被忽视。这很讽刺,因为真正建立一个以结果为导向的项目的是管理因素。最近,一个强调风险控制功能管理的新概念得到了发展和成功实施。这个概念超越了传统方法,并回答了两个重要的问题:组织的必要控制级别是什么?怎样才能在经济上达到这种程度的控制呢?在执行任何有效的程序之前,了解组织的错误暴露和对这些暴露的现有控制是很重要的。只有了解暴露/控制关系,才能及时发现潜在的事故原因,采取纠正措施。这三个原则的结合是这个方案的基础。风险控制功能的有效管理需要识别控制/暴露关系,随后预测未来事件的趋势,并根据这些预测采取适当的行动。对控制/暴露关系施加影响的众多力量可归纳为四个因素:阻力、操作、动机和历史。对这些因素进行量化,就可以确定业务的风险控制绩效指标。将该指数与过去的事件趋势进行比较,可以预测未来的事件和损失趋势。了解了这一点,就可以制定和实施一项行动计划,其中包括健全的、有针对性的风险控制程序和做法,从而大大有助于预防未来的石油泄漏。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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