Assessing the value of improved variable renewable energy forecasting accuracy in the South African power system

IF 0.6 4区工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS

Journal of Energy in Southern Africa Pub Date : 2019-06-22 DOI:10.17159/2413-3051/2019/V30I2A6293

Jarrad Wright, G. Landwehr, E. Chartan

引用次数: 1

Abstract

The value associated with an improved variable renewable energy (VRE) forecast has been quantified in this research. The value of improved VRE forecasts can increase with increasing VRE penetration levels as well as the range of this value becoming wider. This value also saturates with high levels of improved VRE forecasts as there is relatively lower impact of improving VRE forecasts further. This paper discusses how the improvement of VRE forecasting could impact the South African power system and representative United States power system jurisdictions.

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评估南非电力系统中改进可变可再生能源预测准确性的价值

本研究量化了与改进可变可再生能源(VRE)预测相关的价值。改进后的VRE预测值可以随着VRE渗透水平的增加以及该值的范围变宽而增加。由于进一步改进VRE预测的影响相对较低，因此该值在高水平改进VRE预测时也趋于饱和。本文讨论了VRE预测的改进如何影响南非电力系统和具有代表性的美国电力系统管辖区。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Journal of Energy in Southern Africa ENERGY & FUELS-

CiteScore

3.00

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

6 months

期刊介绍： The journal has a regional focus on southern Africa. Manuscripts that are accepted for consideration to publish in the journal must address energy issues in southern Africa or have a clear component relevant to southern Africa, including research that was set-up or designed in the region. The southern African region is considered to be constituted by the following fifteen (15) countries: Angola, Botswana, Democratic Republic of Congo, Lesotho, Malawi, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Within this broad field of energy research, topics of particular interest include energy efficiency, modelling, renewable energy, poverty, sustainable development, climate change mitigation, energy security, energy policy, energy governance, markets, technology and innovation.