VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS FOR THE ANALYSIS OF THE RECEPTIVE TOURISM CRISIS

IF 1.4 Q3 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM
Segundo Freire-Chaglla, Javier Sanmartín Rojas, Iliana Sanmartín-Rojas, Ana Lucía Serrano López
{"title":"VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS FOR THE ANALYSIS OF THE RECEPTIVE TOURISM CRISIS","authors":"Segundo Freire-Chaglla, Javier Sanmartín Rojas, Iliana Sanmartín-Rojas, Ana Lucía Serrano López","doi":"10.3727/108354222x16675913510928","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This research analyzed the behavior of receptive tourism in Ecuador and its relationship with the United States’ economy. An index was developed to measure instability and crisis levels as well as the vector autoregressive models - VAR, cointegration as well as hypothesis tests through vectors. The findings indicate that Ecuador endured a crisis 12 out of 19 years; on the other hand, while the United States entered a crisis, the figures of Ecuadorian tourism improved. Likewise, the GDP’s inverse growth movement influenced the reduction in the number of tourists. Therefore, expenditure capacity decided the touristic destination, not so Ecuador’s internal cost index. Finally, it was proven that the average expenditure of a foreign tourist was reduced across time.","PeriodicalId":23157,"journal":{"name":"Tourism Analysis","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.4000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tourism Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3727/108354222x16675913510928","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

This research analyzed the behavior of receptive tourism in Ecuador and its relationship with the United States’ economy. An index was developed to measure instability and crisis levels as well as the vector autoregressive models - VAR, cointegration as well as hypothesis tests through vectors. The findings indicate that Ecuador endured a crisis 12 out of 19 years; on the other hand, while the United States entered a crisis, the figures of Ecuadorian tourism improved. Likewise, the GDP’s inverse growth movement influenced the reduction in the number of tourists. Therefore, expenditure capacity decided the touristic destination, not so Ecuador’s internal cost index. Finally, it was proven that the average expenditure of a foreign tourist was reduced across time.
接纳性旅游危机分析的向量自回归模型
本研究分析了厄瓜多尔的接受性旅游行为及其与美国经济的关系。开发了一个指数来衡量不稳定性和危机水平,以及向量自回归模型- VAR,协整以及通过向量进行假设检验。调查结果表明,厄瓜多尔在19年里经历了12年的危机;另一方面,在美国陷入危机的同时,厄瓜多尔旅游业的数字却有所改善。同样,国内生产总值的反向增长也影响了游客数量的减少。因此,决定旅游目的地的是消费能力,而不是厄瓜多尔的内部成本指数。最后,证明了外国游客的平均支出随着时间的推移而减少。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
Tourism Analysis
Tourism Analysis HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
11.10%
发文量
42
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信