The Health System Infrastructure and Economic Effects of COVID-19 in OECD Countries, the Policy Responses of Nations and International Organizations against Pandemic

Metin Gürler, OzlemOzsoy
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Abstract

Background: COVID-19 became pandemic in a short time and has spread affectingthe countries negatively in economic, social and political life all over the world.Governments and international organizationsare taking protective measures to decrease the effect of the pandemic on total economy and households. Aim: This study aims to investigate the growth rates of confirmed cases and deaths related to COVID-19 and analyse the health system infrastructure and economic effects of COVID-19 in OECD countries, the policy responses of nations and international organizations against pandemic. Methods: The data for the COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths was gathered from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) and was smoothed with Simple Moving Average process to remove trend and reduce volatility. The cumulative growth rates for COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths were calculated by natural logarithmic values.In the study the health infrastructure and human resources and the impact of COVID-19 on the economy and foreign trade for the countries were also analysed. Results: In five months total confirmed cases and deaths exceeded five million and three hundred thousand respectively all over the world. Due to COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths in some countries have increased rapidly due to insufficient health systems. Since the internal and external demand decreased and the supply chain was destructed the countries faced contracting GDP, foreign trade, tax revenues and employment where individuals had job and income loss. Conclusion: Rapidly spreading COVID-19 heavily affects human life and economies in countries. Governments and international organizations are taking protective measures and responses against the pandemic quickly. Staying at home, keeping social distance and taking lockdown decisions for settlements will change attitudes and behaviours. Pandemic will be destructive for some countries where it will be an opportunity for others who have strong infrastructure for health systems, medical products, food and online sales.
经合组织国家COVID-19的卫生系统基础设施和经济影响,国家和国际组织对大流行的政策反应
背景:新冠肺炎疫情在短时间内成为大流行,并在全球范围内蔓延,对各国经济、社会和政治生活产生负面影响。各国政府和国际组织正在采取保护措施,以减少大流行对经济总量和家庭的影响。目的:本研究旨在调查与COVID-19相关的确诊病例和死亡人数的增长率,分析经合组织国家COVID-19的卫生系统基础设施和经济影响,以及各国和国际组织对大流行的政策反应。方法:收集欧洲疾病预防控制中心(ECDC)新冠肺炎确诊病例和死亡病例数据,采用简单移动平均法进行平滑处理,去除趋势,降低波动性。COVID-19确诊病例和死亡病例累积增长率采用自然对数计算。在研究中,还分析了卫生基础设施和人力资源以及COVID-19对各国经济和外贸的影响。结果:5个月内全球确诊病例和死亡病例分别超过500万和30万。由于卫生系统不足,一些国家的COVID-19确诊病例和死亡人数迅速增加。由于内外部需求的减少和供应链的破坏,各国面临着GDP、外贸、税收和就业的收缩,个人有工作和收入的损失。结论:COVID-19的迅速传播严重影响了各国人民的生活和经济。各国政府和国际组织正在迅速采取保护措施和应对措施。呆在家里,保持社交距离,对定居点采取封锁决定,将改变人们的态度和行为。大流行对一些国家具有破坏性,而对其他拥有强大卫生系统、医疗产品、食品和在线销售基础设施的国家则是一个机会。
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