Predictors of Juvenile Survival in Birds

T. Maness, D. J. Anderson
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引用次数: 106

Abstract

Abstract The survival probability of birds during the juvenile period, between the end of parental care and adulthood, is highly variable and has a major effect on population dynamics and parental fitness. As such, a large number of studies have attempted to evaluate potential predictors of juvenile survival in birds, especially predictors related to parental care. Lack’s hypothesis linking body reserves accumulated from parental care to the survival of naive juveniles has organized much of this research, but various other predictors have also been investigated and received some support. We reviewed the literature in this area and identified a variety of methodological problems that obscure interpretation of the body of results. Most studies adopted statistical techniques that missed the opportunities to (1) evaluate the relative importance of several predictors, (2) control the confounding effect of correlation among predictor variables, and (3) exploit the information content of collinearity by evaluati...
鸟类幼鸟存活的预测因子
摘要鸟类幼年期(亲代抚育结束至成年期)的存活率变化很大,对种群动态和亲代适合度有重要影响。因此,大量的研究试图评估鸟类幼鸟生存的潜在预测因素,特别是与亲代抚育有关的预测因素。拉克的假设将幼体从亲代抚育中积累的身体储备与幼年幼体的生存联系起来,这一假设组织了大量的研究,但其他各种预测因素也得到了调查和一些支持。我们回顾了这一领域的文献,并确定了各种方法上的问题,这些问题模糊了对结果主体的解释。大多数研究采用的统计技术错过了(1)评估几个预测变量的相对重要性,(2)控制预测变量之间相关性的混淆效应,以及(3)通过评估共线性的信息含量。
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