Is the Democratic Party’s superdelegate system unfair to voters?

IF 2.9 2区社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Electoral Studies Pub Date : 2011-12-01 DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2011.07.002

Josh M. Ryan

引用次数: 3

Abstract

Among the reasons for the historic nature of the 2008 Democratic primary race was the attention paid to the “superdelegates”. The competitiveness of the primary and the important role the superdelegates played has led to calls for reform. This paper develops a formal model that explains why superdelegates selected one candidate over the other and why some superdelegates committed early in the primary season while others waited. Hypotheses are tested using an original dataset collected during the 2008 Democratic primary. The results suggest that although some superdelegates made their decision based on personal, idiosyncratic factors, for many superdelegates, Democratic voters played the most important role in their commitment process.

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民主党的超级代表制度对选民不公平吗?

2008年民主党初选具有历史性的原因之一是对“超级代表”的关注。初选的竞争力和超级代表发挥的重要作用导致了改革的呼声。本文开发了一个正式的模型，解释了为什么超级代表选择了一个候选人而不是另一个候选人，以及为什么一些超级代表在初选初期就承诺了，而另一些则等待。使用2008年民主党初选期间收集的原始数据集对假设进行了测试。结果表明，尽管一些超级代表是基于个人的特殊因素做出决定的，但对许多超级代表来说，民主党选民在他们的承诺过程中发挥了最重要的作用。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Electoral Studies POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

3.40

自引率

13.00%

发文量

审稿时长

67 days

期刊介绍： Electoral Studies is an international journal covering all aspects of voting, the central act in the democratic process. Political scientists, economists, sociologists, game theorists, geographers, contemporary historians and lawyers have common, and overlapping, interests in what causes voters to act as they do, and the consequences. Electoral Studies provides a forum for these diverse approaches. It publishes fully refereed papers, both theoretical and empirical, on such topics as relationships between votes and seats, and between election outcomes and politicians reactions; historical, sociological, or geographical correlates of voting behaviour; rational choice analysis of political acts, and critiques of such analyses.