Environmental scanning of cocaine trafficking in Brazil: Evidence from geospatial intelligence and natural language processing methods

IF 1.9 4区 医学 Q2 MEDICINE, LEGAL
Jairo Jesús Pinto Hidalgo , Jorge Antonio Silva Centeno
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Cocaine trafficking threatens countries' national security and is a major public health challenge. Cocaine is transported from producer countries to consumer markets using various routes, methods, and transportation means. These routes develop in the geographical environment, are carefully planned and are geo-strategic objects that respond to the opportunities that drug trafficking organisations (DTOs) find to reduce the risks of interdiction. In this sense, individual drug seizure data (IDS) become essential indicators for identifying trends and understanding trafficking flows associated with drug trafficking routes. However, due to the illicit nature of DTOs, the availability of these data is considerably limited, hindering the ability to analyse and identify trends. This study presents a methodology for collecting and processing data from open-source information reported by Brazil's federal government news website. Using geospatial intelligence and natural language processing methods, we created a dataset with 939 records and 44 variables related to cocaine seizures in Brazil in 2022. We applied geospatial analysis techniques from this dataset to identify trends and potential cocaine trafficking flows. The results were broadly consistent with existing literature on drug trafficking. They demonstrated the potential of open-source information for environmental scanning and knowledge generation through geographic information science. The approach proposed in our research provides tools that can be used to complement drug trafficking monitoring and formulate public policies to strengthen prevention and enforcement strategies.

巴西可卡因贩运的环境扫描:来自地理空间情报和自然语言处理方法的证据
可卡因贩运威胁到各国的国家安全,是一项重大的公共卫生挑战。可卡因通过各种路线、方法和运输手段从生产国运输到消费市场。这些路线是在地理环境中发展起来的,经过精心规划,是应对贩毒组织发现的减少拦截风险的机会的地缘战略目标。从这个意义上说,个人毒品缉获数据成为识别趋势和了解与毒品贩运路线相关的贩运流动的重要指标。然而,由于DTO的非法性质,这些数据的可用性相当有限,阻碍了分析和确定趋势的能力。这项研究提出了一种从巴西联邦政府新闻网站报道的开源信息中收集和处理数据的方法。利用地理空间智能和自然语言处理方法,我们创建了一个数据集,其中包含939条记录和44个与2022年巴西可卡因缉获有关的变量。我们应用该数据集的地理空间分析技术来确定可卡因贩运的趋势和潜在流动。研究结果与现有关于贩毒的文献大体一致。他们展示了开放源码信息在环境扫描和通过地理信息科学生成知识方面的潜力。我们研究中提出的方法提供了一些工具,可用于补充毒品贩运监测和制定公共政策,以加强预防和执法战略。
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来源期刊
Science & Justice
Science & Justice 医学-病理学
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
15.80%
发文量
98
审稿时长
81 days
期刊介绍: Science & Justice provides a forum to promote communication and publication of original articles, reviews and correspondence on subjects that spark debates within the Forensic Science Community and the criminal justice sector. The journal provides a medium whereby all aspects of applying science to legal proceedings can be debated and progressed. Science & Justice is published six times a year, and will be of interest primarily to practising forensic scientists and their colleagues in related fields. It is chiefly concerned with the publication of formal scientific papers, in keeping with its international learned status, but will not accept any article describing experimentation on animals which does not meet strict ethical standards. Promote communication and informed debate within the Forensic Science Community and the criminal justice sector. To promote the publication of learned and original research findings from all areas of the forensic sciences and by so doing to advance the profession. To promote the publication of case based material by way of case reviews. To promote the publication of conference proceedings which are of interest to the forensic science community. To provide a medium whereby all aspects of applying science to legal proceedings can be debated and progressed. To appeal to all those with an interest in the forensic sciences.
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