Don't blame me: A theory of politicians choosing policy advisors

Arthur Fishman , Doron Klunover
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

We present a model in which an imperfectly informed politician chooses between appointing an independent expert, whose advice is revealed to voters, and a loyal expert whose advice can be concealed from voters and who can therefore be blamed for a bad outcome. The politician is privately informed about which expert is more competent while Bayesian voters update beliefs about the expert's competence based on which expert is chosen and the outcome of the policy chosen by the politician. Voters are distributed such that some are biased toward a certain policy while others are not. We show that, under a majority voting rule, in equilibrium, the politician is unable to increase his chances of reelection by choosing the loyal expert and trying to shift the blame for a bad outcome on him.

别怪我:政客选择政策顾问的理论
我们提出了一个模型,在这个模型中,一个不完全知情的政治家在任命一位独立专家和一位忠诚的专家之间做出选择,前者的建议会向选民透露,后者的建议可能会向选民隐瞒,因此可能会因糟糕的结果而受到指责。政治家被私下告知哪位专家更有能力,而贝叶斯选民则根据选择哪位专家和政治家选择的政策结果更新对专家能力的看法。选民的分布使得一些人倾向于某项政策,而另一些人则不然。我们表明,在多数投票规则下,在平衡状态下,政治家无法通过选择忠诚的专家并试图将糟糕结果的责任推给他来增加连任的机会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
3.20
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