Priorities for narrowing the yield gap and increasing farming systems resilience in the Fiji sugar industry

Elizabeth A. Meier , Diogenes L. Antille , Santiago Mahimairaja
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Abstract

Sugarcane (Saccharum officinarum L.) is the single most important agricultural industry in Fiji and occupies half of the nation's cropped area while supporting 25% of the labour force. However, the industry is facing comprehensive challenges across the supply chain, underlain by declining productivity and changing climate. The purposes of this study were to: (1) use model simulation to determine the potential of conservation agriculture (CA) practices to narrow yield gaps in sugarcane production systems under historical and projected climates in a case study; (2) identify and rank candidate practices that would contribute to narrowing such yield gaps; and (3) identify the limitations of the modelling approach and make recommendations for improving it. We simulated nine scenarios of CA practices with potential to reduce the estimated yield gap (55 ​Mg ​ha-1) by increasing nitrogen (N) fertiliser rates (30 ​Mg ​ha−1), liming (25 ​Mg ​ha−1), improved weed control (5–9 ​Mg ​ha−1), replacing uncropped fallow with legume crops (2–3 ​Mg ​ha−1), crop cycle duration (0 ​Mg ​ha−1), and retaining crop residues (−2 ​Mg ​ha−1). The yield benefit of CA practices was similar under projected climates that were warmer and wetter or drier, or hotter and wetter. For a projected climate that was hotter and drier, the greatest yield benefit was obtained from liming, weed control, and retaining crop residues. The study was limited by the availability of daily weather data, and it would be complemented by additional studies incorporating more local crops, evaluation of barriers to mechanisation needed to implement new practices, and economic assessment of scenarios.

斐济糖业缩小产量差距和提高农业系统复原力的优先事项
甘蔗(Saccharum officinarum L.)是斐济唯一最重要的农业产业,占据了全国一半的种植面积,同时支持了25%的劳动力。然而,由于生产力下降和气候变化,该行业正面临整个供应链的全面挑战。本研究的目的是:(1)在一个案例研究中,使用模型模拟来确定保护性农业(CA)实践在历史和预测气候下缩小甘蔗生产系统产量差距的潜力;(2) 确定有助于缩小这种收益差距的候选人做法并对其进行排名;以及(3)确定建模方法的局限性,并提出改进建议。我们模拟了CA实践的九个场景,这些场景有可能缩小估计的收益差距(55​Mg​ha-1)通过增加氮肥(30​Mg​ha−1)、石灰(25​Mg​ha−1),改善杂草控制(5-9​Mg​ha−1),用豆类作物取代未开垦的休耕地(2-3​Mg​ha−1),作物周期持续时间(0​Mg​ha−1),以及保留作物残留物(−2​Mg​ha−1)。在更温暖、更潮湿、更干燥或更炎热、更潮湿的预测气候下,CA实践的产量效益相似。对于预计的更热、更干燥的气候,施用石灰、控制杂草和保留作物残留物可获得最大的产量效益。该研究受到每日天气数据可用性的限制,将通过纳入更多当地作物的额外研究、实施新做法所需的机械化障碍评估以及情景经济评估来补充。
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