Spending trajectories after age 65 variation by initial wealth

IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY
Michael D. Hurd, Susann Rohwedder
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Abstract

There has been extensive research on the importance of saving for retirement and on tools to support the accumulation of retirement wealth. Much less attention has been paid to the decumulation phase, that is, the spending down of wealth following retirement. Understanding the decumulation phase requires information about the spending patterns of older households and how those patterns evolve with age. This study uses comprehensive longitudinal data on total household spending from a survey that is representative of the older U.S. population to estimate the trajectories of spending after age 65. Based on data spanning the period 2005–2019, real spending declined for both single and coupled households after age 65 at annual rates of about 1.7 percent and 2.4 percent, respectively. Stratification by wealth holdings observed at or closely following age 65 showed sizeable variation in spending levels by wealth quartile, but little variation in rates of change in spending. The fact that spending declines broadly, including among those in the highest wealth quartile, suggests that the decline may not be related to economic position. This view is supported by an analysis of budget shares which show increases with age in the budget share for gifts and donations which suggests that economic position on average does not deteriorate with age, even as spending declines.

65岁后按初始财富变化的支出轨迹
人们对退休储蓄的重要性以及支持退休财富积累的工具进行了广泛的研究。人们对递减阶段的关注要少得多,也就是说,退休后财富的减少。了解递减阶段需要了解老年家庭的支出模式以及这些模式如何随着年龄的增长而演变。这项研究使用了一项代表美国老年人口的调查中关于家庭总支出的综合纵向数据来估计65岁后的支出轨迹。根据2005-2019年期间的数据,65岁后单身家庭和已婚家庭的实际支出分别以1.7%和2.4%的年增长率下降。在65岁或紧随65岁之后观察到的财富持有分层显示,按财富四分位数划分的支出水平变化很大,但支出变化率变化不大。支出普遍下降,包括财富最高四分之一人群的支出,这表明支出下降可能与经济状况无关。这一观点得到了预算份额分析的支持,该分析显示,礼物和捐款的预算份额随着年龄的增长而增加,这表明即使支出下降,平均经济状况也不会随着年龄的增加而恶化。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
4.50%
发文量
46
审稿时长
49 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of the Economics of Ageing (JEoA) is an international academic journal that publishes original theoretical and empirical research dealing with the interaction between demographic change and the economy. JEoA encompasses both microeconomic and macroeconomic perspectives and offers a platform for the discussion of topics including labour, health, and family economics, social security, income distribution, social mobility, immigration, productivity, structural change, economic growth and development. JEoA also solicits papers that have a policy focus.
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