The authoritarian trade-off: A synthetic control analysis of development and social coercion in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region

IF 1.7 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Contemporary Economic Policy Pub Date : 2022-11-12 DOI:10.1111/coep.12597

Linan Peng, Justin T. Callais

引用次数: 0

Abstract

The Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR) has recently experienced a series of policies seeking economic development and intensive methods of social coercion. A unique leader, Chen Quanguo, brought these changes to the XUAR in 2016. This paper seeks to examine the effects of Chen's regime. We specifically examine three outcomes: GDP per capita, arrest rates, and spending on public security. Using the synthetic control method, we find that Chen's regime had no significant effect on the development. However, his policies led to much higher rates of arrest and larger spending on public security.

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威权主义的权衡：新疆维吾尔自治区发展与社会胁迫的综合控制分析

新疆维吾尔自治区最近经历了一系列寻求经济发展的政策和密集的社会胁迫手段。2016年，一位独特的领导者陈全国为XUAR带来了这些变化。本文试图考察陈政权的影响。我们具体考察了三个结果：人均GDP、逮捕率和公共安全支出。采用综合控制方法，我们发现陈政权对发展没有显著影响。然而，他的政策导致了更高的逮捕率和更大的公共安全支出。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Contemporary Economic Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

3.10

自引率

6.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Contemporary Economic Policy publishes scholarly economic research and analysis on issues of vital concern to business, government, and other decision makers. Leading western scholars, including three Nobel laureates, are among CEP"s authors. The objectives are to communicate results of high quality economic analysis to policymakers, focus high quality research and analysis on current policy issues of widespread concern, increase knowledge among economists of features of the economy key to understanding the impact of policy, and to advance methods of policy analysis.