Understanding Changes in Youth Offenders’ Risk Profiles: A Latent Transition Analysis

IF 1.5 1区社会学 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY

Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI:10.1177/1541204019883922

Xuexin Xu, Dongdong Li, C. Chu, G. Chng, Kala Ruby

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引用次数: 5

Abstract

This study examined youth probationers’ risk profiles at the start and the end of probation and the types of transition in risk profiles over time. It further identified the association between the transition types, their adverse family background as well as their probation completion status. Using a sample of 935 youth probationers in Singapore, a latent transition analysis was conducted based on seven dynamic domains captured in the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory 2.0. Based on the risk profiles, three subgroups of youths were identified: (1) the “De-escalators” had reduced risk in one or multiple domains; (2) the “Persistors” continued to have moderate risk in most domains; and (3) the “Escalators” showed an increase in risk levels in one or multiple domains. Compared to the De-escalators, the Persistors and Escalators were less likely to complete their probation orders. Further analysis revealed that youths from nonintact families or families with conviction history showed higher relative risk in being Persistors. These findings contribute to our understanding on the changes in probationers’ risk profiles over time and provide information for early and more targeted intervention efforts.

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理解青少年罪犯风险状况的变化：一个潜在的转变分析

这项研究调查了青少年缓刑犯在缓刑开始和结束时的风险状况，以及随着时间的推移风险状况的转变类型。它进一步确定了过渡类型、他们不利的家庭背景以及他们的缓刑完成状况之间的关联。利用新加坡935名青少年缓刑犯的样本，根据《青少年服务水平/案例管理清单2.0》中的七个动态领域进行了潜在过渡分析。根据风险状况，确定了三个年轻人亚组：（1）“去自动扶梯”在一个或多个领域降低了风险；（2） “持久主义者”在大多数领域仍然具有中等风险；以及（3）“自动扶梯”显示一个或多个领域的风险水平增加。与De扶梯相比，Persistors和扶梯不太可能完成缓刑令。进一步的分析显示，来自非接触家庭或有定罪史的家庭的年轻人成为顽固分子的相对风险更高。这些发现有助于我们了解缓刑犯风险状况随时间的变化，并为早期和更有针对性的干预工作提供信息。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-

CiteScore

6.90

自引率

10.50%

发文量

期刊介绍： Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice: An Interdisciplinary Journal provides academics and practitioners in juvenile justice and related fields with a resource for publishing current empirical research on programs, policies, and practices in the areas of youth violence and juvenile justice. Emphasis is placed on such topics as serious and violent juvenile offenders, juvenile offender recidivism, institutional violence, and other relevant topics to youth violence and juvenile justice such as risk assessment, psychopathy, self-control, and gang membership, among others. Decided emphasis is placed on empirical research with specific implications relevant to juvenile justice process, policy, and administration. Interdisciplinary in scope, Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice serves a diverse audience of academics and practitioners in the fields of criminal justice, education, psychology, social work, behavior analysis, sociology, law, counseling, public health, and all others with an interest in youth violence and juvenile justice.