Modeling Central Asia’s Choices in Containing COVID-19: A Multivariate Study

IF 3.2 3区管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION

Administration & Society Pub Date : 2023-07-29 DOI:10.1177/00953997231186996

V. Alfano, S. Ercolano, M. Pinto

引用次数: 1

Abstract

Different countries have adopted different policies in their fight against the COVID-19 outbreak. In this work we aim to model these approaches with respect to the first wave of COVID-19 (from January to October 2020) in the five Central Asian republics (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan). By means of a multivariate approach based on principal component analysis and cluster analysis, we derived three clusters. Each of these represents a different strategy adopted by a group of governments in a given period of the first wave: pre-pandemic, initial reaction, and emergency scenarios. The contribution of these results is two-fold: on the one hand they may help us to understand differences and similarities among Central Asian republics during the first wave of the COVID-19 outbreak and guide future quantitative or qualitative studies; on the other hand, our findings suggest that, with the exception of Turkmenistan, the different countries adopted very similar strategies and that deaths, more than cases, pushed governments to impose restrictions.

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中亚遏制新冠肺炎的选择模型：一项多变量研究

不同国家在抗击新冠肺炎疫情方面采取了不同的政策。在这项工作中，我们旨在为中亚五个共和国（哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、塔吉克斯坦、土库曼斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦）的第一波新冠肺炎（2020年1月至10月）建立这些方法的模型。利用基于主成分分析和聚类分析的多元方法，我们得到了三个聚类。每一项都代表了一组政府在第一波疫情的特定时期采取的不同策略：疫情前、初始反应和紧急情况。这些结果的贡献有两方面：一方面，它们可能有助于我们了解新冠肺炎第一波疫情期间中亚共和国之间的差异和相似性，并指导未来的定量或定性研究；另一方面，我们的研究结果表明，除了土库曼斯坦，不同的国家采取了非常相似的策略，死亡比病例更多地促使政府实施限制。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Administration & Society PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION-

CiteScore

4.50

自引率

4.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： Administration & Society seeks to further the understanding of public and human service organizations, their administrative processes, and their effect on society. The journal publishes empirically oriented research reports and theoretically specific articles that synthesize or contribute to the advancement of understanding and explanation in these fields. Of particular interest are (1) studies that analyze the effects of the introduction of administrative strategies, programs, change interventions, and training; and (2) studies of intergroup, interorganizational, and organization-environment relationships and policy processes.