A Critical Review of the Market Efficiency Concept

Karwan Hussein Mustafa, Amanj Mohamed Ahmed
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The market efficiency hypothesis has attracted a notable number of economists to conduct investigations in this field. It could be considered as an effective method of driving investors towards the right direction while trading in the security market. A large number of researches believe that the market is efficient in some of its forms, while others take a different view. Drawing on previous theoretical and empirical studies investigating market efficiency and its three forms, this paper critically examines the concept of market efficiency through a critical review from different points of views. Moreover, it highlights a number of empirical tests and their results with regard to the three forms of market efficiency. It also focuses on the influence of market efficiency on the security prices. This paper concludes that the market seems to be more efficient in regards to its weak form instead of the strong and semi- strong forms, as a result, it is difficult to predict future security prices and obtain abnormal profits by only analyzing historical records.
市场效率概念述评
市场效率假说吸引了大批经济学家在这一领域进行研究。它可以被视为在证券市场交易时推动投资者朝着正确方向发展的有效方法。大量研究认为,市场在某些形式上是有效的,而另一些研究则持不同观点。本文借鉴了以往对市场效率及其三种形式的理论和实证研究,从不同的角度对市场效率的概念进行了批判性的考察。此外,它强调了关于三种形式的市场效率的一些实证检验及其结果。本文还重点研究了市场效率对证券价格的影响。本文的结论是,市场在弱形式上似乎比强和半强形式更有效率,因此,仅通过分析历史记录很难预测未来的证券价格并获得异常利润。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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4 weeks
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