Do managers pay attention to the market? A review of the relationship between stock price informativeness and investment

IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Paulo Pereira da Silva
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Using a multi-country sample of stocks, the sensitivity of investment to stock price informativeness is assessed. Consistent with prior research, we find a positive association between investment and stock prices. This association becomes stronger when prices are more informative. However, while measures of price informativeness related to the amount of (market-based) private information conveyed by prices heighten the investment-to-stock price sensitivity, others, akin to the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis, hardly affect it. This is consistent with only revelatory private information acquired by traders influencing managers’ investment decisions. The relevance of private information revealed in secondary markets also extends to financing decisions, with price informativeness also shaping the association between external financing and growth opportunities. Not least importantly, we show that abnormal investment generated by the amount of private information contained in prices fosters future profitability and aggregate efficiency. In robustness tests, the presence of a causal relationship flowing from price informativeness to (abnormal) investment rates is appraised. Using two quasi-random events that enhanced the information environment of stocks (MSCI ACWI reconstitutions and the passing of JGTRRA in 2003), we present evidence that exogenous variation of the amount of private information contained in stock prices affects investment rates.

经理们关注市场吗?股票价格信息性与投资关系研究述评
利用多国股票样本,评估了投资对股票价格信息的敏感性。与先前的研究一致,我们发现投资与股票价格之间存在正相关关系。当价格信息更丰富时,这种联系就会变得更强。然而,虽然与价格传达的(基于市场的)私人信息数量相关的价格信息性措施提高了投资对股票价格的敏感性,但类似于有效市场假设的弱形式的其他措施几乎不会影响它。这与交易员只获得影响管理者投资决策的启发性私人信息的情况一致。二级市场披露的私人信息的相关性也延伸到融资决策,价格信息性也塑造了外部融资与增长机会之间的关联。最重要的是,我们证明了价格中包含的私人信息量所产生的异常投资促进了未来的盈利能力和总效率。在稳健性检验中,评估了从价格信息性到(异常)投资率之间存在的因果关系。利用增强股票信息环境的两个准随机事件(MSCI ACWI重组和2003年JGTRRA的通过),我们证明了股票价格中包含的私人信息数量的外生变化会影响投资率。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.30
自引率
4.80%
发文量
25
审稿时长
30 days
期刊介绍: International trade, financing and investments have grown at an extremely rapid pace in recent years, and the operations of corporations have become increasingly multinationalized. Corporate executives buying and selling goods and services, and making financing and investment decisions across national boundaries, have developed policies and procedures for managing cash flows denominated in foreign currencies. These policies and procedures, and the related managerial actions of executives, change as new relevant information becomes available. The purpose of the Journal of Multinational Financial Management is to publish rigorous, original articles dealing with the management of the multinational enterprise. Theoretical, conceptual, and empirical papers providing meaningful insights into the subject areas will be considered. The following topic areas, although not exhaustive, are representative of the coverage in this Journal. • Foreign exchange risk management • International capital budgeting • Forecasting exchange rates • Foreign direct investment • Hedging strategies • Cost of capital • Managing transaction exposure • Political risk assessment • International working capital management • International financial planning • International tax management • International diversification • Transfer pricing strategies • International liability management • International mergers.
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