Priority setting for 2050 future images and policy agendas of the Republic of Korea: engaging the national assembly

IF 2.3 Q3 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING
Foresight Pub Date : 2022-10-11 DOI:10.1108/fs-03-2022-0031
J. Heo, C. Lee, Bogyeong Min
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Abstract

Purpose This study aims to identify and prioritize preferable 2050 future images and the policy agendas of the Republic of Korea using a bottom-up approach, involving legislative staff of the National Assembly as well as experts from various fields. Design/methodology/approach The authors derived three future images from the future policy agendas selected by experts: society for growth of smart generations (GS), society for sustainability and safety (SS) and society for coexistence and diversity (CD). The survey conducted among legislative staff (n = 189) shows that the most preferred future image was SS. Then, the authors prioritized the policy agendas that aligned with future images using priority calculating methods. Findings The most prioritized policy agenda was “Social system for coexistence to resolve social conflict,” followed by “Social sustainability through tackling low birth rate.” The next was “Social integration policies to embrace diverse family composition” and “Responding to social change and knowledge transformation caused by artificial intelligence.” Among the top five rankings, two agendas from each SS and CD were selected. Practical implications To achieve the preferred future images, implementing policies related to sustainability, human rights and coexistence are necessary for continuous collaboration among stakeholders, especially those from the legislature. Originality/value This study presents a method of involving the National Assembly, which is a representative institution of the people and composed of various political parties, to set the national’s future vision and agenda from a long-term perspective.
制定大韩民国2050年未来形象和政策议程的优先事项:参与国民大会
本研究旨在采用自下而上的方法,涉及国民议会立法人员以及各个领域的专家,确定并优先考虑大韩民国2050年的未来形象和政策议程。△设计/方法/方法:作者从专家们选定的未来政策议程中,得出了“智能世代成长的社会”(GS)、“可持续性和安全的社会”(SS)、“共存和多样性的社会”(CD)等3个未来形象。对立法人员(n = 189)进行的调查显示,最受欢迎的未来形象是SS。然后,作者使用优先级计算方法对与未来形象一致的政策议程进行优先级排序。调查结果显示,最优先的政策议程是“解决社会矛盾的共存社会制度”,其次是“解决低出生率的社会可持续性”。其次是“包容多样化家庭构成的社会融合政策”、“应对人工智能引发的社会变化和知识转型”。在前5名中,党卫军和民主党各选出了2个议程。为了实现理想的未来形象,实施与可持续性、人权和共存相关的政策是利益相关者,特别是立法机构之间持续合作的必要条件。原创性/价值本研究提出了一种方法,让国会这个由各政党组成的人民代表机构参与进来,从长远的角度制定国家的未来愿景和议程。
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来源期刊
Foresight
Foresight REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING-
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
5.00%
发文量
45
期刊介绍: ■Social, political and economic science ■Sustainable development ■Horizon scanning ■Scientific and Technological Change and its implications for society and policy ■Management of Uncertainty, Complexity and Risk ■Foresight methodology, tools and techniques
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