A Note on Equiprobability Prior to 1500

IF 0.5 2区哲学 Q3 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE

Early Science and Medicine Pub Date : 2022-06-16 DOI:10.1163/15733823-20220042

M. Thakkar

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Rudolf Schuessler has argued that sixteenth-century thinkers developed a concept of equal probability that was virtually absent before 1500 and that may have contributed to the birth of mathematical probability shortly after 1650. This note uses additional textual evidence to argue that the concept of equal probability was in fact generally available to medieval thinkers. It is true that ascriptions of equal probability are comparatively rare in medieval texts, but this can be explained without positing a conceptual blind spot.

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关于1500年以前等概率的说明

Rudolf Schuessler认为，16世纪的思想家们提出了一种等概率的概念，这种概念在1500年之前实际上是不存在的，这可能促成了1650年后不久数学概率的诞生。本文使用额外的文本证据来论证等概率的概念实际上在中世纪思想家中普遍存在。确实，在中世纪的文本中，相等概率的归属相对较少，但这可以在不假定概念盲点的情况下得到解释。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Early Science and Medicine HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE-

CiteScore

0.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： Early Science and Medicine (ESM) is a peer-reviewed international journal dedicated to the history of science, medicine and technology from the earliest times through to the end of the eighteenth century. The need to treat in a single journal all aspects of scientific activity and thought to the eighteenth century is due to two factors: to the continued importance of ancient sources throughout the Middle Ages and the early modern period, and to the comparably low degree of specialization and the high degree of disciplinary interdependence characterizing the period before the professionalization of science.