Economic integration and food security – The case of the AfCFTA

IF 9.8 1区经济学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Global Food Security-Agriculture Policy Economics and Environment Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI:10.1016/j.gfs.2022.100651

Antti Simola , Ole Boysen , Emanuele Ferrari , Victor Nechifor , Pierre Boulanger

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引用次数: 4

Abstract

The study assesses potential effects of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) on agri-food sectors and food security in Africa. It employs the global Computable General Equilibrium model MAGNET in an ex ante analysis. The analysis has high regional and sectoral detail, representing the wide variety of African economies and trade policy strategies.

The AfCFTA lifts 1.0 million people from risk of hunger while increasing national incomes. The rise in food prices offsets the increase in household income in a few regions. Food production increases in total, but several regions reduce production while increasing imports. Non-tariff measure reductions have higher impact than tariff cuts. A group of countries could experience adverse food security effects due to the AfCFTA.

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经济一体化与粮食安全——以AfCFTA为例

该研究评估了非洲大陆自由贸易区(AfCFTA)对非洲农业食品部门和粮食安全的潜在影响。在事前分析中采用了全局可计算一般均衡模型MAGNET。该分析具有高度的区域和部门细节，代表了非洲各种各样的经济和贸易政策战略。非洲自贸协定使100万人摆脱了饥饿的危险，同时增加了国民收入。在一些地区，食品价格的上涨抵消了家庭收入的增长。粮食总产量增加，但一些地区在增加进口的同时减少了产量。非关税措施削减比关税削减的影响更大。非洲自贸协定可能会对一些国家的粮食安全造成不利影响。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Global Food Security-Agriculture Policy Economics and Environment FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY-

CiteScore

20.90

自引率

3.40%

发文量

期刊介绍： Global Food Security plays a vital role in addressing food security challenges from local to global levels. To secure food systems, it emphasizes multifaceted actions considering technological, biophysical, institutional, economic, social, and political factors. The goal is to foster food systems that meet nutritional needs, preserve the environment, support livelihoods, tackle climate change, and diminish inequalities. This journal serves as a platform for researchers, policymakers, and practitioners to access and engage with recent, diverse research and perspectives on achieving sustainable food security globally. It aspires to be an internationally recognized resource presenting cutting-edge insights in an accessible manner to a broad audience.