Social Actors constructing community visions in the Global South

IF 2.3 Q3 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING
Foresight Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI:10.1108/fs-11-2021-0235
Fredy Vargas-Lama
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Abstract

Purpose This paper aims to identify the aspects that social actors consider in constructing shared futures in communities. In their application in emerging countries, especially in the Global South, the socio-cultural particularities of communities and actors are often overlooked, generating friction or social conflicts. This paper presents two critical elements contributing to the debate: the importance of understanding Social Actors within a model of generating community futures in emerging countries; and the relevant factors that influence the actors in an exercise of building futures in communities. Design/methodology/approach From qualitative research, a case study of community foresight of the future was used: the future of Puerto Gaitán 2037 (Meta, Colombia). A method of information collection was applied from observation of the participants and analysis of documentation. The analysis method was the deductive qualitative analysis (DQA). Findings The participation of the social actors presents a model of five relevant elements that influence the actors for the successful construction of futures in communities. The first four factors, revealed from theory, are presented in real life. Likewise, a fifth factor is proven, Long-term thinking, which is evidenced by a model of application of futures studies for the specific context, applicable to the case of communities in countries of the Global South. Originality/value Although there are isolated examples of recommendations regarding studies to generate the future of communities, to the best of the author’s knowledge, this is the first study that presents concrete factors that contribute to guiding the construction of community futures from social actors, especially in countries of the Global South such as Colombia. It is also one of the first studies to use the DQA as a method of analysis in a topic of futures studies.
在全球南方构建社区愿景的社会行动者
本文旨在确定社会行为者在构建社区共享未来时所考虑的方面。在新兴国家,特别是在全球南方国家应用这些方法时,往往忽视了社区和行动者的社会文化特点,从而产生摩擦或社会冲突。本文提出了促成辩论的两个关键因素:在新兴国家创造社区未来的模式中理解社会行动者的重要性;以及在构建社区未来的过程中影响参与者的相关因素。设计/方法/方法从定性研究中,使用了社区未来远见的案例研究:Puerto Gaitán 2037的未来(哥伦比亚Meta)。通过对参与者的观察和文献的分析,采用了信息收集的方法。分析方法为演绎定性分析(DQA)。社会行为者的参与提出了一个影响行为者成功建设社区未来的五个相关要素的模型。前四个因素,从理论上揭示出来,在现实生活中呈现出来。同样,第五个因素也得到了证明,即长期思考,这是一个适用于全球南方国家社区的具体情况的未来研究应用模式所证明的。原创性/价值虽然有一些孤立的关于产生社区未来的研究建议的例子,但据作者所知,这是第一个提出具体因素的研究,这些因素有助于指导社会行为者构建社区未来,特别是在哥伦比亚等全球南方国家。这也是首次在期货研究的课题中使用DQA作为分析方法的研究之一。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Foresight
Foresight REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING-
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
5.00%
发文量
45
期刊介绍: ■Social, political and economic science ■Sustainable development ■Horizon scanning ■Scientific and Technological Change and its implications for society and policy ■Management of Uncertainty, Complexity and Risk ■Foresight methodology, tools and techniques
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