{"title":"Bayesian Concentration Ratio and Dissonance","authors":"Wei Shi, Ming-Hui Chen, L. Kuo, P. Lewis","doi":"10.1214/21-ba1277","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We propose two new classes of Bayesian measure to investigate conflict among data sets from multiple studies. The first (“concentration ratio”) is used to quantify the amount of information provided by a single data set through the comparison of the prior and its posterior distribution, or two data sets according to their corresponding posterior distributions. The second class (“dissonance”) quantifies the extent of contradiction between two data sets. Both classes are based on volumes of highest density regions. They are well calibrated, supported by simulation, and computational algorithms are provided for their calculation. We illustrate these two classes in three real data applications: a benchmark dose toxicology study, a missing data study related to health effects of pollution, and a pediatric cancer study leveraging adult data.","PeriodicalId":55398,"journal":{"name":"Bayesian Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.9000,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Bayesian Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1214/21-ba1277","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We propose two new classes of Bayesian measure to investigate conflict among data sets from multiple studies. The first (“concentration ratio”) is used to quantify the amount of information provided by a single data set through the comparison of the prior and its posterior distribution, or two data sets according to their corresponding posterior distributions. The second class (“dissonance”) quantifies the extent of contradiction between two data sets. Both classes are based on volumes of highest density regions. They are well calibrated, supported by simulation, and computational algorithms are provided for their calculation. We illustrate these two classes in three real data applications: a benchmark dose toxicology study, a missing data study related to health effects of pollution, and a pediatric cancer study leveraging adult data.
期刊介绍:
Bayesian Analysis is an electronic journal of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis. It seeks to publish a wide range of articles that demonstrate or discuss Bayesian methods in some theoretical or applied context. The journal welcomes submissions involving presentation of new computational and statistical methods; critical reviews and discussions of existing approaches; historical perspectives; description of important scientific or policy application areas; case studies; and methods for experimental design, data collection, data sharing, or data mining.
Evaluation of submissions is based on importance of content and effectiveness of communication. Discussion papers are typically chosen by the Editor in Chief, or suggested by an Editor, among the regular submissions. In addition, the Journal encourages individual authors to submit manuscripts for consideration as discussion papers.