Forty years of internal migration in Australian regions: a sequence analysis of net migration, turnover, and retention

IF 1.8 2区社会学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY

Australian Geographer Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI:10.1080/00049182.2021.2018772

Rosabella Borsellino, E. Charles‐Edwards, Aude Bernard, J. Corcoran

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引用次数: 4

Abstract

ABSTRACT Australia is one of the most migratory countries in the world, yet as internal migrants typically represent only a small proportion of the population, the impact of stayers and transient populations need to be considered to create a fuller picture of regional population dynamics. To that end, this paper analyses net migration, population turnover, and population retention for 69 Australian regions from 1976 to 2016. Applying sequence analysis to a temporally-consistent framework, we find that regions follow four ideal-typical trajectories: 1) escalator regions with transient populations, 2) amenity destinations with fading attractiveness, 3) regions at risk of terminal decline, and 4) sticky regions. This classification in part follows the urban hierarchy while unveiling some important regional differences, highlighting the utility of the long-term multi-dimensional framework developed in this paper. This approach offers policymakers a new capacity to measure and monitor changes in internal migration and population dynamics to design and deploy more targeted regional policies.

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澳大利亚地区四十年的内部移民:净移民、流动和保留的序列分析

摘要澳大利亚是世界上移民最多的国家之一，但由于国内移民通常只占人口的一小部分，因此需要考虑滞留者和流动人口的影响，以更全面地了解地区人口动态。为此，本文分析了1976年至2016年澳大利亚69个地区的净移民、人口流动和人口保留情况。将序列分析应用于时间一致性框架，我们发现区域遵循四个理想的典型轨迹：1）有流动人口的自动扶梯区域，2）吸引力减弱的舒适目的地，3）有最终衰落风险的区域，以及4）粘性区域。这种分类在一定程度上遵循了城市层次结构，同时揭示了一些重要的区域差异，突出了本文开发的长期多维框架的效用。这种方法为政策制定者提供了衡量和监测国内移民和人口动态变化的新能力，以设计和部署更有针对性的区域政策。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Australian Geographer GEOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

4.10

自引率

8.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： Australian Geographer was founded in 1928 and is the nation"s oldest geographical journal. It is a high standard, refereed general geography journal covering all aspects of the discipline, both human and physical. While papers concerning any aspect of geography are considered for publication, the journal focuses primarily on two areas of research: •Australia and its world region, including developments, issues and policies in Australia, the western Pacific, the Indian Ocean, Asia and Antarctica. •Environmental studies, particularly the biophysical environment and human interaction with it.