E-commerce and local labor markets: Is the “Retail Apocalypse” near?

IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Hyunbae Chun , Hailey Hayeon Joo , Jisoo Kang , Yoonsoo Lee
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The rapid growth of e-commerce is widely blamed for job losses in brick-and-mortar retail. Using geographic variations in online spending, constructed from over 30 billion credit card transactions in Korea, we examine the causal effect of e-commerce on local retail employment. We find that the rise in the share of online spending from 2010 to 2015 decreased county-level retail employment by about 4.9 percent. We also find that employment shifted from offline retail to other local businesses, such as restaurants and personal services. However, the shift in employment was confined to metropolitan areas, falling far short of offsetting employment losses in non-metropolitan areas. Our finding suggests that a Retail Job Apocalypse is likely in certain local labor markets (i.e., non-metropolitan areas).

电子商务与本地劳动力市场:“零售业末日”临近了吗?
人们普遍认为,电子商务的快速发展导致了实体零售业的失业。利用韩国超过300亿笔信用卡交易构建的在线支出的地理差异,我们研究了电子商务对当地零售业就业的因果影响。我们发现,从2010年到2015年,在线消费份额的上升使县级零售业就业人数减少了约4.9%。我们还发现,就业从线下零售转移到其他本地企业,如餐馆和个人服务。然而,就业的转变仅限于首都地区,远远不能抵消非首都地区的就业损失。我们的研究结果表明,在某些地方劳动力市场(即非大都市地区),零售业的就业末日很可能发生。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.60
自引率
4.80%
发文量
64
期刊介绍: The Journal of Urban Economics provides a focal point for the publication of research papers in the rapidly expanding field of urban economics. It publishes papers of great scholarly merit on a wide range of topics and employing a wide range of approaches to urban economics. The Journal welcomes papers that are theoretical or empirical, positive or normative. Although the Journal is not intended to be multidisciplinary, papers by noneconomists are welcome if they are of interest to economists. Brief Notes are also published if they lie within the purview of the Journal and if they contain new information, comment on published work, or new theoretical suggestions.
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