Using international migration links for early detection of COVID-19 risk exposure in low- and middle-income countries

IF 3.3 2区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
Mahreen Khan, Reshad Ahsan, Kazi Iqbal, Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, Abu S. Shonchoy
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Reliable testing data for new infectious diseases like COVID-19 is scarce in developing countries making it difficult to rapidly diagnose spatial disease transmission and identify at-risk areas. We propose a method that uses readily available data on bi-lateral migration channels combined with COVID-19 cases at respective migrant destinations to construct a spatially oriented risk index. We find significant and consistent association between our measure and various types of outcomes including actual COVID-19 cases and deaths, indices of government policy responses, and community mobility patterns. Results suggest that future pandemic models should incorporate migration-linkages to predict regional socio-economic and health risk exposure.

Abstract Image

利用国际移民联系及早发现低收入和中等收入国家的COVID - 19风险暴露
发展中国家缺乏COVID-19等新型传染病的可靠检测数据,因此难以快速诊断疾病的空间传播并确定风险地区。我们提出了一种利用双边移民通道的现成数据,结合各自移民目的地的COVID-19病例,构建面向空间的风险指数的方法。我们发现我们的测量与各种类型的结果之间存在显著且一致的关联,包括实际的COVID-19病例和死亡、政府政策反应指数和社区流动模式。结果表明,未来的大流行模型应纳入移徙联系,以预测区域社会经济和健康风险暴露。
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来源期刊
Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy
Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-
CiteScore
10.70
自引率
6.90%
发文量
117
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy provides a forum to address contemporary and emerging policy issues within an economic framework that informs the decision-making and policy-making community. AEPP welcomes submissions related to the economics of public policy themes associated with agriculture; animal, plant, and human health; energy; environment; food and consumer behavior; international development; natural hazards; natural resources; population and migration; and regional and rural development.
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