Trauma and belief systems; an operational code analysis of Dutch Prime Minister Rutte and the downing of flight MH17
IF 1.9
Q3 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION
引用次数: 1
Abstract
What is the impact of a crisis on the belief systems of leaders? We know from a substantial body of research that the beliefs of leaders impact their decision making processes. These beliefs are generally assumed to be stable, which makes them a reliable tool for explaining decision making behavior. There is, however, some limited evidence that suggests that when crises are experienced by leaders as a traumatic event, their beliefs can be affected. This article studies the potential impact of crisis ‐ induced trauma on leaders' belief systems by measuring the operational codes of Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte before and after the shooting down of fl ight MH17 in 2014 in Ukraine. We use quantitative content analysis of written texts such as the speeches by Rutte. Our aim is to contribute to the crisis management literature that focuses on individual leadership and crises by fi nding out whether Rutte's operational code changed signi fi cantly after the downing of fl ight MH17. We conclude that there were two signi fi cant changes in Rutte's belief system, but these cannot be attributed to the effects of the traumatic event only. Therefore we offer an alternative explanation that combines the traumatic event hypothesis with the crisis ‐ learning hypothesis.创伤和信仰体系;荷兰首相吕特的操作代码分析以及MH17航班的坠毁
危机对领导者的信念体系有什么影响?我们从大量的研究中得知，领导者的信念会影响他们的决策过程。这些信念通常被认为是稳定的，这使得它们成为解释决策行为的可靠工具。然而，有一些有限的证据表明，当领导人将危机视为创伤性事件时，他们的信念可能会受到影响。本文通过测量2014年MH17航班在乌克兰被击落前后荷兰首相马克·吕特的操作代码，研究危机引发的创伤对领导人信仰体系的潜在影响。我们使用定量内容分析书面文本，如Rutte的演讲。我们的目标是通过找出Rutte的操作准则在MH17航班被击落后是否发生了重大变化，为关注个人领导力和危机的危机管理文献做出贡献。我们得出结论，Rutte的信念系统有两个显著的变化，但这些变化不能仅仅归因于创伤性事件的影响。因此，我们提出了另一种解释，将创伤性事件假说与危机学习假说相结合。
本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk, Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION-
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
8.60%
发文量
20
期刊介绍：
Scholarship on risk, hazards, and crises (emergencies, disasters, or public policy/organizational crises) has developed into mature and distinct fields of inquiry. Risk, Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy (RHCPP) addresses the governance implications of the important questions raised for the respective fields. The relationships between risk, hazards, and crisis raise fundamental questions with broad social science and policy implications. During unstable situations of acute or chronic danger and substantial uncertainty (i.e. a crisis), important and deeply rooted societal institutions, norms, and values come into play. The purpose of RHCPP is to provide a forum for research and commentary that examines societies’ understanding of and measures to address risk,hazards, and crises, how public policies do and should address these concerns, and to what effect. The journal is explicitly designed to encourage a broad range of perspectives by integrating work from a variety of disciplines. The journal will look at social science theory and policy design across the spectrum of risks and crises — including natural and technological hazards, public health crises, terrorism, and societal and environmental disasters. Papers will analyze the ways societies deal with both unpredictable and predictable events as public policy questions, which include topics such as crisis governance, loss and liability, emergency response, agenda setting, and the social and cultural contexts in which hazards, risks and crises are perceived and defined. Risk, Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy invites dialogue and is open to new approaches. We seek scholarly work that combines academic quality with practical relevance. We especially welcome authors writing on the governance of risk and crises to submit their manuscripts.
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