Counter-urbanisation in pre-pandemic times: disentangling the influences of amenity and disamenity

IF 1.8 2区社会学 Q2 GEOGRAPHY

Australian Geographer Pub Date : 2022-03-12 DOI:10.1080/00049182.2022.2043807

N. Argent, P. Plummer

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引用次数: 6

Abstract

ABSTRACT The COVID-19 pandemic has stimulated a resurgence in counter-urbanisation in Australia with ex-urban populations leaving behind the perceived disamenity of city life for simpler, cheaper and lockdown-free lives. This article investigates the drivers of in-migration and net migration into non-metropolitan New South Wales from the metropolitan zone between 2011 and 2016, focusing on the potential draw of rural amenity, together with the potential ‘push’ factors of urban disamenity. The results show that non-metropolitan NSW is becoming less dependent on counter-urbanisation flows from Sydney, while simultaneously seeing stronger net migration gains from interchanges with the broad metropolitan zone. Hypothesis testing upheld the contention that rural amenity accounted for a statistically significant share of the variance in in-migration - and net migration - from Sydney. However, the hypothesis that Sydney’s perceived disamenity is leading to out-migration flows and net migration losses was not well supported, confounded by mis-specification issues. High population densities are associated with out-migration from the Sydney region to all categories of settlement within the remainder of NSW and Australia. However, changes in density are only a strong and reliable influence on net migration within the broad Sydney metropolitan area but the direction of that influence is positive rather than negative. The article reveals that the proportion of immigrants within a metropolitan local government area population is negatively associated with out-migration.

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疫情前的反城市化：解开舒适和不舒适的影响

摘要新冠肺炎疫情刺激了澳大利亚反城市化的复苏，城市以外的人口放弃了城市生活中被认为的灾难，转而过上更简单、更便宜、无封锁的生活。本文调查了2011年至2016年间从大都会区向新南威尔士州非大都会区内移民和净移民的驱动因素，重点关注农村舒适度的潜在吸引力，以及城市不舒适度的可能“推动”因素。结果表明，新南威尔士州非大都市地区对悉尼反城市化流动的依赖性正在降低，同时与广阔的大都市地区的互通带来了更强的净移民收益。假设检验支持了这样一种观点，即农村舒适度在悉尼移民和净移民的差异中占据了统计上显著的份额。然而，悉尼感知到的不平等导致了移民外流和净移民损失的假设并没有得到很好的支持，这一假设被错误的规范问题所混淆。高人口密度与从悉尼地区向外迁移到新南威尔士州和澳大利亚其余地区的所有类别的定居点有关。然而，密度的变化只是对悉尼大都市圈内净移民的一个强大而可靠的影响，但这种影响的方向是积极的，而不是消极的。文章揭示了大都市地方政府区域人口中移民的比例与向外移民呈负相关。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Australian Geographer GEOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

4.10

自引率

8.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： Australian Geographer was founded in 1928 and is the nation"s oldest geographical journal. It is a high standard, refereed general geography journal covering all aspects of the discipline, both human and physical. While papers concerning any aspect of geography are considered for publication, the journal focuses primarily on two areas of research: •Australia and its world region, including developments, issues and policies in Australia, the western Pacific, the Indian Ocean, Asia and Antarctica. •Environmental studies, particularly the biophysical environment and human interaction with it.