Reassurance and Deterrence after Russia’s War against Ukraine

IF 2.2 2区社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Security Studies Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI:10.1080/09636412.2022.2140597

J. Goldgeier, Lily Wojtowicz

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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In response to Russia’s brutal, unprovoked, and expanded war against Ukraine in 2022, North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) member states rushed support to help the latter defend itself, while the United States also reassured NATO’s eastern members that they would be defended in the event that Russia expanded the war into alliance territory. Since the start of the Cold War, extended deterrence has been a critical issue for scholarly and practitioner communities. How could the United States signal to Moscow during the Cold War and again today that it was ready to come to the defense of its treaty allies? Would the Kremlin believe the United States would risk damage, including a Russian nuclear strike, to its homeland to deter an attack on allies located far from US soil? Though alliance reassurance has received more attention in recent years, the subject remains far less studied than topics such as credibility among adversaries and extended deterrence’s impact on nonproliferation. What does it take to reassure allies that the United States will protect them in the event of an attack? Focusing on the interplay between resolve and capabilities, Brian Blankenship and Erik Lin-Greenberg argue that a feature of US policy since the Cold War, namely the use of relatively small numbers of

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俄罗斯对乌克兰战争后的保证与威慑

为了回应俄罗斯在2022年对乌克兰发动的野蛮、无端和扩大的战争，北大西洋公约组织(NATO)成员国迅速提供支持，帮助乌克兰自卫，而美国也向北约东部成员国保证，如果俄罗斯将战争扩大到联盟领土，它们将得到保护。自冷战开始以来，延伸威慑一直是学术界和实务界的一个关键问题。美国怎么能在冷战期间和今天再次向莫斯科发出信号，表示它准备好保卫其条约盟国?克里姆林宫会相信美国会冒着对其本土造成损害(包括俄罗斯的核打击)的风险，来阻止对远离美国本土的盟友发动袭击吗?尽管近年来联盟保证得到了更多的关注，但与对手之间的可信度和延伸威慑对防扩散的影响等主题相比，这一主题的研究仍然远远不够。怎样才能让盟友相信，一旦发生袭击，美国会保护他们?布莱恩·布兰肯希普(Brian Blankenship)和埃里克·林-格林伯格(Erik Lin-Greenberg)专注于决心与能力之间的相互作用，他们认为，冷战以来美国政策的一个特点，即使用相对较少数量的武器

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来源期刊

Security Studies INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-

CiteScore

2.70

自引率

16.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Security Studies publishes innovative scholarly manuscripts that make a significant contribution – whether theoretical, empirical, or both – to our understanding of international security. Studies that do not emphasize the causes and consequences of war or the sources and conditions of peace fall outside the journal’s domain. Security Studies features articles that develop, test, and debate theories of international security – that is, articles that address an important research question, display innovation in research, contribute in a novel way to a body of knowledge, and (as appropriate) demonstrate theoretical development with state-of-the art use of appropriate methodological tools. While we encourage authors to discuss the policy implications of their work, articles that are primarily policy-oriented do not fit the journal’s mission. The journal publishes articles that challenge the conventional wisdom in the area of international security studies. Security Studies includes a wide range of topics ranging from nuclear proliferation and deterrence, civil-military relations, strategic culture, ethnic conflicts and their resolution, epidemics and national security, democracy and foreign-policy decision making, developments in qualitative and multi-method research, and the future of security studies.