The effect of the informal economy on bilateral exports from sub-Saharan African countries

IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
Boker Poumie, Edmond Noubissi Domguia, Borice Augustin Ngounou, Thierry Messie Pondie, Joseph Nzomo Tcheuta
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyse the impact of the informal economy on bilateral exports in sub-Saharan African countries. We use a gravity model, to which we add indicators of the informal economy and indicator variables for different economic regions. The study used Pseudo-Poisson Maximum Likelihood (PPML) and Heckman estimation techniques on data from the period 2002–2018. The results show that the informal economy has a negative impact on bilateral inter-community exports and a positive impact on bilateral intra-community exports. These results thus support the idea that the informal economy can accelerate the integration of regional economic communities and ultimately facilitate the establishment of bilateral export free trade areas at the continental level.

非正式经济对撒哈拉以南非洲国家双边出口的影响
本研究的目的是分析撒哈拉以南非洲国家非正规经济对双边出口的影响。我们使用重力模型,在模型中加入非正式经济指标和不同经济区域的指标变量。该研究对2002-2018年的数据使用了伪泊松最大似然(PPML)和Heckman估计技术。结果表明,非正式经济对双边社区间出口具有负向影响,对双边社区内出口具有正向影响。因此,这些结果支持这样一种观点,即非正规经济可以加速区域经济共同体的一体化,并最终促进在大陆一级建立双边出口自由贸易区。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
24.10%
发文量
60
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