Institutional determinants of internal conflicts in fragile developing countries

IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Syed Muhammad All-e-Raza Rizvi , Marie-Ange Véganzonès-Varoudakis
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In this article, we use fixed-effect Poisson regressions (FEPR) with robust standard errors and instrumental variables (IV) to study the economic, social, and institutional determinants of internal conflicts in 58 fragile developing countries from 2004 to 2017. We show that effective institutions (measured by judicial efficiency and governance) and higher incomes could help reduce conflict in fragile countries. In contrast, trade reform does not seem to reduce violence, and education and democratic institutions may fuel conflict in some cases. These results imply that education and trade liberalization do not have the expected effects in fragile countries, which should probably first improve their social, economic, and institutional situation, before reaping the benefits of economic reforms and education. This may also be the case for political reforms, because democratic experience seems to lead to increased violence in some countries in our sample.

脆弱发展中国家内部冲突的制度决定因素
在本文中,我们使用具有稳健标准误差的固定效应泊松回归(FEPR)和工具变量(IV)来研究2004年至2017年58个脆弱发展中国家内部冲突的经济、社会和制度决定因素。我们表明,有效的制度(以司法效率和治理来衡量)和更高的收入可以帮助减少脆弱国家的冲突。相比之下,贸易改革似乎并没有减少暴力,教育和民主制度在某些情况下可能会加剧冲突。这些结果表明,教育和贸易自由化在脆弱国家没有产生预期的效果,这些国家可能应该首先改善其社会、经济和制度状况,然后才能获得经济改革和教育的好处。政治改革的情况可能也是如此,因为在我们的样本中,民主经验似乎导致一些国家的暴力增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
11.40%
发文量
76
期刊介绍: The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.
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