Handling Compounded Uncertainty in Spatial Planning and Humanitarian Action in Unexpected Floods in Wayanad, Kerala: Towards a Contextualised Contingency Planning Approach

IF 3.4 2区经济学 Q1 REGIONAL & URBAN PLANNING

Planning Theory & Practice Pub Date : 2022-10-20 DOI:10.1080/14649357.2022.2143548

Mrudhula Koshy, Rolee Aranya, Hilde Refstie

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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract Increasing environmental crises due to climate change calls for bridging the research and operational logics of spatial planning and humanitarian response. This article explores how long-term spatial planning and short-term humanitarian responses relate to three facets of uncertainty that are particularly relevant in developmental contexts, namely epistemic uncertainty, ontic uncertainty, and ambiguity. The authors explore these facets through a case study of uncertainty, that of unexpected monsoon floods in 2018 and 2019 in Wayanad, a peri-urban hill district in Kerala, India. Through the case, they show that compounded uncertainty leads to ambiguity in action, but that this ambiguity can be ameliorated by a contextualised contingency planning approach. The authors conclude the article by outlining the approach in spatial planning that prioritises flexible and adaptable decision-making to enhance iterative organisational learning and action, as well as cross-sectoral dialogue to deal with uncertainty.

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处理喀拉拉邦瓦亚纳德意外洪水中空间规划和人道主义行动的复杂不确定性:基于情境的应急规划方法

气候变化导致的日益严重的环境危机需要将空间规划和人道主义响应的研究和操作逻辑联系起来。本文探讨了长期空间规划和短期人道主义应对如何与发展背景下特别相关的三个不确定性方面相关联，即认知不确定性、实体不确定性和模糊性。作者通过对印度喀拉拉邦城郊山区Wayanad 2018年和2019年意外季风洪水的不确定性案例研究，探讨了这些方面。通过这个案例，他们表明复合的不确定性会导致行动中的模糊性，但是这种模糊性可以通过情境化的应急计划方法来改善。作者在文章的最后概述了空间规划的方法，该方法优先考虑灵活和适应性强的决策，以加强迭代的组织学习和行动，以及跨部门对话以应对不确定性。

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来源期刊

Planning Theory & Practice Multiple-

CiteScore

5.40

自引率

5.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： Planning Theory & Practice provides an international focus for the development of theory and practice in spatial planning and a forum to promote the policy dimensions of space and place. Published four times a year in conjunction with the Royal Town Planning Institute, London, it publishes original articles and review papers from both academics and practitioners with the aim of encouraging more effective, two-way communication between theory and practice. The Editors invite robustly researched papers which raise issues at the leading edge of planning theory and practice, and welcome papers on controversial subjects. Contributors in the early stages of their academic careers are encouraged, as are rejoinders to items previously published.