Alleged and Actual Economic Effectiveness of Fighting Forest Fires in Siberia

B. Porfir’ev
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Abstract

ABSTRACT This article critically assesses the existing approach for appraising the economic consequences of forest fires. The approach greatly underestimates the risks for and damage done to health and human life. In the summer of 2019, it was used to organize the suppression of Siberia’s forest fires and led to the refusal to extinguish fires over a large area of the so-called control zones. Proceeding from (a) the fact that threats to public health and life are a priority (the main danger is not the fire but the smoke, containing dangerous and toxic substances) and from (b) the WHO (World Health Organization) criteria for the effectiveness of lifesaving measures, the author demonstrates that the cost of extinguishing forest fires is effective from a socioeconomic point of view; however, the cost of containing forest fire hotspots in the accessible areas of the control zones is highly effective. It is established that in terms of importance, forest fires are a national security issue, which requires a comprehensive approach that refutes the thus-far-used purely fiscal means of assessing the cost-effectiveness of measures used to extinguish fires.
西伯利亚森林火灾扑救的据称和实际经济效益
本文批判性地评估了评估森林火灾经济后果的现有方法。这种做法大大低估了对健康和人类生命造成的风险和损害。2019年夏天,它被用来组织扑灭西伯利亚的森林火灾,导致大面积所谓控制区的火灾被拒绝扑灭。提交人从(a)对公众健康和生命的威胁是优先事项(主要危险不是火灾,而是含有危险和有毒物质的烟雾)和(b)世界卫生组织关于拯救生命措施有效性的标准出发,证明扑灭森林火灾的成本从社会经济角度来看是有效的;然而,将森林火灾热点控制在控制区的可达区域的成本是非常有效的。可以确定的是,就重要性而言,森林火灾是一个国家安全问题,这需要一种全面的办法,反驳迄今为止使用的纯粹财政手段来评估用于扑灭火灾的措施的成本效益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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