Pentecostalism, Electoral Prophetism and National Security Challenges in Nigeria

IF 1.7 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE
Afamefune Patrick Ikem, C. N. Ogbonna, Olusola Ogunnubi
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

ABSTRACT In advanced democracies, professional pollsters forecast electoral outcomes with varying degrees of accuracy. The culture of public opinion polls is not yet fully entrenched in Nigeria due to over-politicization of issues. However, there seems to be a thin line between the spiritual and the temporal, with some religious leaders taking it upon themselves to predict outcomes which are often not achieved. This occurs in a tense environment characterized by strong links between politics and primordial ties, hate-speech, and involuntary migration to regions of origin, as well as the politicization of security. Fierce contestations occur among sub-national groups, with many threatening violence if their “son” is not elected. It is in this context that this article investigates the nexus between Pentecostalism and national security challenges in Nigeria. It suggests that with the fragile atmosphere within which elections are conducted, the pattern of prophetic electoral predictions adds to the national security challenges in Nigeria. Consequently, regulatory measures are required to tame this evolving phenomenon.
五旬节主义、选举预言与尼日利亚的国家安全挑战
摘要在发达民主国家,专业民调机构对选举结果的预测准确度各不相同。由于问题过于政治化,尼日利亚的民意调查文化尚未完全根深蒂固。然而,精神和时间之间似乎有一条细线,一些宗教领袖自行预测往往无法实现的结果。这种情况发生在一个紧张的环境中,其特点是政治与原始联系、仇恨言论、非自愿移民到原籍地区以及安全政治化之间有着密切的联系。次国家团体之间发生了激烈的争论,许多人威胁说,如果他们的“儿子”没有当选,就会使用暴力。正是在这种背景下,本文调查了五旬节主义与尼日利亚国家安全挑战之间的关系。这表明,在选举气氛脆弱的情况下,预言性选举预测的模式增加了尼日利亚的国家安全挑战。因此,需要采取监管措施来遏制这种不断演变的现象。
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来源期刊
African Security
African Security POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
5.00%
发文量
15
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