Child survival and contraception choice: Theory and evidence

IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Joydeep Bhattacharya , Shankha Chakraborty , Minkyong Kim
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper asks whether increases in child survival bring down fertility and incentivize couples to switch from traditional to modern methods of contraception. Our parsimonious model predicts the answer in each case is, yes. We test these connections using household-level Demographic and Health Surveys from recent fertility transitions using arguably exogenous variation in child survival at the regional level. We find a 1% increase in ambient child survival leads to a fertility drop of 1.2%. The same raises the chance of switching to modern birth control (and sticking to it) by 0.4%. Our finding supports the notion that prevailing rates of child survival influence the effectiveness of family planning programs that promote modern contraceptive use.

儿童生存与避孕选择:理论与证据
本文的问题是,儿童存活率的提高是否会降低生育率,并激励夫妇从传统避孕方法转向现代避孕方法。我们的简约模型预测,每种情况下的答案都是肯定的。我们使用来自最近生育率转变的家庭人口和健康调查来测试这些联系,使用区域一级儿童存活率的外生变化。我们发现,环境儿童存活率每增加1%,生育率就会下降1.2%。同样,转向(并坚持)现代计划生育的几率也增加了0.4%。我们的发现支持了这样一种观点,即普遍的儿童存活率会影响促进现代避孕措施使用的计划生育方案的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
7.10%
发文量
53
审稿时长
76 days
期刊介绍: Since its inception in 1979, the Journal of Macroeconomics has published theoretical and empirical articles that span the entire range of macroeconomics and monetary economics. More specifically, the editors encourage the submission of high quality papers that are concerned with the theoretical or empirical aspects of the following broadly defined topics: economic growth, economic fluctuations, the effects of monetary and fiscal policy, the political aspects of macroeconomics, exchange rate determination and other elements of open economy macroeconomics, the macroeconomics of income inequality, and macroeconomic forecasting.
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