Factors Predicting Fertility Rate in Indonesia

Yusni Maulida, Harlen Harlen, Delfi Ranta Sari, Tehubijuluw Zacharias
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Abstract

The highly competitive environment of the nowadays modern world brought about survival challenges. Hence, individuals all over the globe are striving for a quality life with the fulfillment of their basic needs. Simultaneously, the population plays an important role in determining the distribution of resources and quality of life in a particular area. At the same time, the fertility rate is an important element of the world’s population. Hence, this study aims to analyze the effect of women's education, women's participation in the labor market, income, and mortality on the fertility rate in Indonesia. Multiple regression analysis methods with Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis technique were applied. Based on the result of the research conducted, women's education, participation in the labor market, income, and mortality rates together significantly affect fertility in Indonesia in the long term. However, the results were insignificant in the short term.  Moreover, based on the long-term results of the data, it is suggested that in fertility control, these factors need to be included in developing nations.
预测印度尼西亚生育率的因素
当今世界竞争激烈的环境给生存带来了挑战。因此,全世界的人们都在为满足他们的基本需求而努力追求高质量的生活。同时,人口在决定特定地区的资源分配和生活质量方面发挥着重要作用。与此同时,生育率是世界人口的一个重要因素。因此,本研究旨在分析印度尼西亚妇女的教育、妇女参与劳动力市场、收入和死亡率对生育率的影响。采用误差校正模型(ECM)分析技术进行多元回归分析。根据所进行的研究结果,从长远来看,妇女的教育、劳动力市场参与度、收入和死亡率共同对印度尼西亚的生育率产生了重大影响。然而,在短期内,结果是微不足道的。此外,根据数据的长期结果,有人建议,在生育率控制方面,发展中国家需要纳入这些因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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