Constructing non-small cell lung cancer survival prediction model based on Borderline-SMOTE and PFS

Yang Zhao, Xiaojie Wang, Lei Ma, Dangguo Shao, Y. Xiang, Xin Xiong, L. Zhang
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Objective To predict the 5-year survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) by machine learning, and to improve the prediction efficiency and prediction accuracy. Methods The experiments were performed using NSCLC data from the SEER database. According to the imbalance of patient data, the Borderline-SMOTE method was used for data sampling. The perturbation-based feature selection (PFS) method and decision tree (DT) algorithm were used to screen the features and construct the postoperative survival prediction model. Results The patient data was balanced, and seven prognostic variables were screened, including primary site, stage group, surgical primary site, international classification of diseases, race and grade. Compared with LASSO, Tree-based, PFS-SVM and PFS-kNN models, the model constructed using PFS-DT has the best predictive effect. Conclusions The patient survival prediction model based on PFS-DT can effectively improve the accuracy of postoperative survival prediction in patients with NSCLC, and can provide a reference for doctors to provide treatment and improve prognosis. Key words: Non-small cell lung cancer; Imbalance; Feature selection; Survival prediction
基于Borderline-SMOTE和PFS构建非小细胞肺癌生存预测模型
目的应用机器学习技术预测非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者的5年生存期,提高预测效率和预测准确率。方法采用SEER数据库中的NSCLC数据进行实验。针对患者数据的不平衡性,采用Borderline-SMOTE方法进行数据采样。采用基于微扰的特征选择(PFS)方法和决策树(DT)算法筛选特征,构建术后生存预测模型。结果患者资料平衡,筛选出7个预后变量,包括原发部位、分期组、手术原发部位、国际疾病分类、种族和分级。与LASSO、Tree-based、PFS-SVM和PFS-kNN模型相比,PFS-DT模型的预测效果最好。结论基于PFS-DT的患者生存预测模型可有效提高NSCLC患者术后生存预测的准确性,可为医生提供治疗和改善预后提供参考。关键词:非小细胞肺癌;不平衡;特征选择;生存的预测
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