Russian energy balance, energy efficiency, and energy-related GHG emission accounting system

IF 3.2 4区工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS

Energy Efficiency Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI:10.1007/s12053-023-10132-6

Igor Bashmakov, Anna Myshak, Vladimir A. Bashmakov, Vladmir I. Bashmakov, Konstantin Borisov, Maxim Dzedzichek, Alexey Lunin, Oleg Lebedev, Tatiana Shishkina

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Abstract

This paper presents a newly developed Russian energy efficiency and energy-related GHG emission accounting system (EE-EGHG-AS) and discusses the results obtained. This system is designed to account for the energy efficiency progress as achieved in 12 sectors and 80 economic activities and to capture the impacts of 7 factors with a focus on the technological factor. It helped to reveal that in 2015–2021, the technological factor contributed to the 4.3% decline in GDP energy intensity (whereas the traditionally estimated GDP energy intensity was 3.6% up). If non-energy use is excluded, then energy intensity was 2.8% down, which brings the 2021 energy intensity level 15% below the traditional estimates. For some activities, the EE-EGHG-AS has demonstrated a limited ability to adequately assess the contribution made by the technological factor to crashing into, and recovering from, COVID-19-like crises, because the statistically reported data is scarce. With little progress towards energy efficiency improvements Russia is still one of the most energy-intensive countries in the world. Little progress in energy efficiency over the recent years has created the “super-coupling” effect for Russia in 2020–2021 and it is extremely challenging to attain the country’s carbon neutrality target by 2060.

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俄罗斯能源平衡，能源效率，以及与能源相关的温室气体排放核算系统

本文介绍了俄罗斯新开发的能源效率和与能源有关的温室气体排放核算系统(EE-EGHG-AS)，并讨论了所获得的结果。该系统旨在说明在12个部门和80项经济活动中取得的能源效率进展，并捕捉7个因素的影响，重点是技术因素。它有助于揭示2015-2021年，技术因素导致GDP能源强度下降4.3%(而传统估计的GDP能源强度上升3.6%)。如果不包括非能源使用，那么能源强度下降2.8%，这使得2021年的能源强度水平比传统估计低15%。对于某些活动，由于统计报告的数据很少，EE-EGHG-AS显示出充分评估技术因素对陷入covid -19类危机并从中恢复的贡献的能力有限。由于在提高能源效率方面进展甚微，俄罗斯仍然是世界上能源密集程度最高的国家之一。近年来，能源效率方面的进展甚微，为俄罗斯在2020-2021年创造了“超级耦合”效应，到2060年实现该国的碳中和目标极具挑战性。

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来源期刊

Energy Efficiency ENERGY & FUELS-ENERGY & FUELS

CiteScore

5.80

自引率

6.50%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： The journal Energy Efficiency covers wide-ranging aspects of energy efficiency in the residential, tertiary, industrial and transport sectors. Coverage includes a number of different topics and disciplines including energy efficiency policies at local, regional, national and international levels; long term impact of energy efficiency; technologies to improve energy efficiency; consumer behavior and the dynamics of consumption; socio-economic impacts of energy efficiency measures; energy efficiency as a virtual utility; transportation issues; building issues; energy management systems and energy services; energy planning and risk assessment; energy efficiency in developing countries and economies in transition; non-energy benefits of energy efficiency and opportunities for policy integration; energy education and training, and emerging technologies. See Aims and Scope for more details.