Demand for information about potential wins and losses: Does it matter if information matters?

IF 1.8 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED
Matthew D. Hilchey, Dilip Soman
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Abstract

The ostrich effect refers to the observation that people prioritize gathering information about prospectively positive financial outcomes. It is especially problematic when information about negative and positive outcomes is equally useful for making sound financial decisions. Yet, it is unclear to what extent this phenomenon is moderated by whether outcome information is useful for making choices. Here, we test whether making outcome information instrumental to choice moderates the ostrich effect by randomly assigning 800 adults to one of two computer-based gambling tasks, one in which they chose between two 50/50 win/lose gambles and another in which the computer chose one for them at random. The four possible outcomes were concealed by win/loss marked tiles, and participants were required to reveal three of the four possible outcomes before a gamble could be selected. The key finding was that demand for full information about losses increased significantly when participants made their own choices, and thus, outcome information was instrumental. The findings suggest that information about losses is de-prioritized particularly when people cannot take action to influence payoffs.

Abstract Image

对潜在输赢信息的需求:信息是否重要?
鸵鸟效应指的是人们优先收集有关未来积极财务结果的信息。当有关消极和积极结果的信息对做出合理的财务决策同样有用时,问题就更大了。然而,目前尚不清楚这种现象在多大程度上受到结果信息是否对决策有用的影响。在这里,我们通过随机分配800名成年人参加两个基于计算机的赌博任务来测试是否使结果信息有助于选择缓和鸵鸟效应,其中一个任务是他们在两个50/50输赢的赌博中选择一个,另一个是计算机随机为他们选择一个。四种可能的结果被标有输赢的牌所掩盖,参与者被要求在选择赌博之前透露四种可能结果中的三种。关键的发现是,当参与者做出自己的选择时,对有关损失的全部信息的需求显著增加,因此,结果信息是有用的。研究结果表明,有关损失的信息不受重视,尤其是当人们无法采取行动影响收益时。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
5.00%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: The Journal of Behavioral Decision Making is a multidisciplinary journal with a broad base of content and style. It publishes original empirical reports, critical review papers, theoretical analyses and methodological contributions. The Journal also features book, software and decision aiding technique reviews, abstracts of important articles published elsewhere and teaching suggestions. The objective of the Journal is to present and stimulate behavioral research on decision making and to provide a forum for the evaluation of complementary, contrasting and conflicting perspectives. These perspectives include psychology, management science, sociology, political science and economics. Studies of behavioral decision making in naturalistic and applied settings are encouraged.
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