A relative answer to the growth–saving puzzle

IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Noam Gruber
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Prolonged rapid growth, that is, the ‘catching-up’ process through which countries close the gap to the development frontier, is known to be accompanied by high rates of household saving. This phenomenon is central in explaining the direction of international capital flows and trade imbalances in the past several decades, yet it is very much in contradiction to prevailing macroeconomic theory. This paper finds that a standard life-cycle model, even when integrated with uncertainty about future growth and with credit constraints, is completely unable to replicate the relations between growth and saving, represented by three stylized facts gleaned from the empirical literature. However, adding utility from relative consumption to the model allows for the full replication of these relations.

这是增长-储蓄之谜的相对答案
众所周知,长期的快速增长,即“追赶”过程,伴随着高的家庭储蓄率。这一现象是解释过去几十年国际资本流动和贸易失衡方向的核心,但它与主流宏观经济理论非常矛盾。本文发现,标准的生命周期模型,即使与未来增长和信贷约束的不确定性相结合,也完全无法复制数据中所示的增长和储蓄之间的关系。然而,将相对消耗的效用添加到模型中可以完全复制这些关系。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
8.30%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: International Finance is a highly selective ISI-accredited journal featuring literate and policy-relevant analysis in macroeconomics and finance. Specific areas of focus include: · Exchange rates · Monetary policy · Political economy · Financial markets · Corporate finance The journal''s readership extends well beyond academia into national treasuries and corporate treasuries, central banks and investment banks, and major international organizations. International Finance publishes lucid, policy-relevant writing in macroeconomics and finance backed by rigorous theory and empirical analysis. In addition to the core double-refereed articles, the journal publishes non-refereed themed book reviews by invited authors and commentary pieces by major policy figures. The editor delivers the vast majority of first-round decisions within three months.
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