Cointegration between Economic, Ecological and Tourism Development

IF 3.1 Q2 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM
T. Pimonenko, O. Lyulyov, Yana Us
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引用次数: 38

Abstract

The well-developed countries have more options to attract tourists and generate profit from the tourism development. At the same time, the high volume of CO2 emissions, ecological risks, polluted nature restrict the tourism development in the country. The reorientation of global development to green growth provokes transformations in all policies of the country’s development. It allows green countries to attract more tourists. In this case, the paper aims to analyze the relationships between economic growth, ecological indicators, and tourism development. Ukraine has chosen the EU vector of development. In this case, it is necessary to identify the targets for synchronizing the Ukrainian policies (economic, ecological, social, tourism, etc.) with the EU.  The objects of the investigation were Ukraine and Visegrad countries for 2000-2020 years. The panel data was generated from World Data Bank, Eurostat, European Environmental Agency, and Ukrstat. The dependent variable – GDP (as an indicator of economic growth), independent – greenhouse gas emissions and share of renewable energy in the total energy consumption (ecological indicators), the volume of tourists (indicators of tourism development). At the first stage, the study used bibliometric analysis to identify publication activities’ general tendency on the analyzed issues. The following methods were applied to check the hypothesis on cointegration between variables: panel unit root test, Pedroni panel cointegration tests, and the fully modified ordinary least squares and dynamic ordinary least squares panel cointegration techniques. The findings confirmed the relationships between economic, ecological, and tourism development. Thus, the decline of greenhouse gas emissions leads to increasing tourists, and as a consequence, it provokes GDP growth.
经济、生态和旅游发展的协整关系
发达国家有更多的选择来吸引游客,并从旅游发展中产生利润。与此同时,大量的二氧化碳排放、生态风险、被污染的自然也制约了该国旅游业的发展。全球发展向绿色增长的重新定位引发了国家发展各项政策的转变。它使绿色国家能够吸引更多的游客。在这种情况下,本文旨在分析经济增长、生态指标和旅游发展之间的关系。乌克兰选择了欧盟作为发展的载体。在这种情况下,有必要确定与欧盟同步的乌克兰政策(经济,生态,社会,旅游等)的目标。2000-2020年的调查对象是乌克兰和维谢格拉德国家。面板数据来自世界数据银行、欧盟统计局、欧洲环境署和乌克兰统计局。因变量- GDP(作为经济增长的指标),自变量-温室气体排放和可再生能源在总能源消耗中的份额(生态指标),游客数量(旅游发展指标)。在第一阶段,研究使用文献计量学分析来确定所分析问题的出版活动的总体趋势。采用面板单位根检验、Pedroni面板协整检验、全修正普通最小二乘和动态普通最小二乘面板协整技术对变量间协整假设进行检验。研究结果证实了经济、生态和旅游发展之间的关系。因此,温室气体排放的减少导致游客的增加,从而刺激GDP的增长。
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来源期刊
Journal of Tourism and Services
Journal of Tourism and Services HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-
CiteScore
7.80
自引率
16.70%
发文量
14
期刊介绍: Journal of Tourism and Services, established in September 2010, is the international reviewed scientific research journal published by the Center for International Scientific Research of VŠO and VŠPP in cooperation with the following partners. The journal publishes high-quality scientific papers and essays with a focus on tourism and service industry development. Together with the scientific part and in order to promote the exchange of current and innovative ideas and stimulating debate, the Journal also includes Reviews of Existing Work or Short Essays, Research Notes, and Research and Industry sections to address important topics and advance theoretical knowledge or thinking about key areas of tourism and services and to allow researchers to present initial findings and reflections or problems concerning fieldwork and research in general.
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