WHICH AGRICULTURAL INNOVATIONS MATTER MOST TO NIGER’S FARMERS? COUNT-BASED AND BEST-WORST SCALING APPROACHES

A. Zakou
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Abstract

The negative impact of quadruple insecurities (food, health, security and climate change) on smallholder farmers and their livelihoods have been considered as global challenge and threat for sustainable development and climate change management in most developing nations. Although farmers have developed and keep developing coping strategies by innovating to accommodate the negative impact of this quadruple insecurity, little is relatively known how agricultural innovations and its impact on farmers’ welfare in changing climate are poorly understood. Based on previous studies and Survey amongst farmers, twenty four agricultural innovations have identified and included in this research. The experimental design popularly called complete block design was used to collect data from 436 farmers randomly selected. For each question, farmers were asked to choose his eight best and his eight worst agricultural innovations in changing climate. This repeated process is consistent with random utility, which is deeply rooted in microeconomic theory. Count-based method and multinomial logit were used to fit the data. Results indicate that rainfed rice production, saving and credit scheme for rural women, Maradi red goat breeding, processing peanuts into oil and cake, planting trees for land recovering, using of annual and perennial crops for cattle fattening, manufacturing handicrafts with local perennial crops, honey harvesting via improved beehives, cheese making are the most important agricultural innovations that farmers would prefer to implement in changing climate. Income and Animal-based agricultural innovations are more welfare enhancing. The findings of this research may be used to promote and achieve the United Nations sustainable development goals by planning changes and thereby improving the food security and local farmer’s welfare in the study area and beyond.
哪些农业创新对尼日尔农民最重要?基于计数和最佳-最差缩放方法
四重不安全感(粮食、健康、安全和气候变化)对小农户及其生计的负面影响被认为是对大多数发展中国家可持续发展和气候变化管理的全球性挑战和威胁。尽管农民已经制定并不断制定应对策略,通过创新来适应这种四重不安全的负面影响,但相对而言,人们对农业创新及其在气候变化中对农民福利的影响知之甚少。根据先前的研究和对农民的调查,本研究确定并纳入了24项农业创新。采用通常称为完全块体设计的实验设计,从随机选择的436名农民中收集数据。对于每一个问题,农民们都被要求选择他在气候变化中的八项最佳和八项最差的农业创新。这种重复过程与随机效用是一致的,随机效用深深植根于微观经济学理论。采用基于计数的方法和多项式logit对数据进行拟合。结果表明,雨养水稻生产、农村妇女储蓄和信贷计划、马拉迪红山羊养殖、花生加工成油和蛋糕、植树养地、使用一年生和多年生作物养牛、用当地多年生作物制造手工艺品、通过改良蜂箱采蜜、,奶酪制作是农民在气候变化中更愿意实施的最重要的农业创新。收入和以动物为基础的农业创新更能提高福利。这项研究的结果可用于通过规划变革来促进和实现联合国的可持续发展目标,从而改善研究区域内外的粮食安全和当地农民的福利。
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